|

EUR/USD Analysis: correcting higher but no bullish pressure

EUR/USD Current price: 1.1252

  • Markets slowly resuming activity after an extended Easter Holiday.
  • Equities under pressure ahead of the opening, earnings reports awaited.

The EUR/USD pair advanced a handful of pips in ultra-thin market conditions, reaching a daily high of 1.1254, barely 15 pips above its Friday's close. The FX market has seen little action ever since last Thursday as most markets were closed on Easter holidays, with such market's conditions persisting through Monday, European session. US markets will resume activity after the long weekend, although action is expected to remain limited as investors slowly return to their desks and as there are no relevant data scheduled for release. The macroeconomic calendar remained empty in the Union, while the US just released the Chicago Fed Manufacturing Activity Index, which resulted in -0.15 in March, better than the previous -0.31. Pending of release are Existing Home Sales for March, expected to have declined by 2.3%MoM.

Ahead of the opening, US indexes trade in the red, rather affected by earnings reports than dismal market sentiment, as optimism persists about the country's economic health.

As for the technical picture of the pair, the price is currently battling with the 50% retracement of its latest bullish run measured between 1.1183 and 1.1323. In the 4 hours chart, a horizontal 100 SMA converges with the mentioned Fibonacci level, while the 20 SMA maintains a strong bearish slope above it. Technical indicators keep recovering from oversold levels, but advancing modestly within negative levels, falling short of suggesting the pair could continue rallying. The pair would need to firm up above 1.1280, a strong static resistance level, to extend its advance up to the top of the range, while below 1.1200 the yearly low at 1.1175 comes as the next support/bearish target.

Support levels: 1.1200  1.1175 1.1130

Resistance levels: 1.1280 1.1320 1.1350  

View Live chart for the EUR/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds firm above 1.1900 as US NFP looms

EUR/USD holds its upbeat momentum above 1.1900 in the European trading hours on Wednesday, helped by a broadly weaker US Dollar. Markets could turn cautious later in the day as the delayed US employment report for January will takes center stage. 

GBP/USD recovers losses despite rising UK political risks, BoE rate cut bets

Pound Sterling advances against the US Dollar after registering modest losses in the previous session, trading around 1.3650 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair could extend losses as the Pound Sterling faces pressure from rising political risks in the UK and growing expectations of near-term Bank of England rate cuts.

Gold sticks to gains near $5,050 as focus shifts to US NFP

Gold holds moderate gains near the $5,050 level in the European session on Wednesday, reversing a part of the previous day's modest losses amid dovish US Federal Reserve-inspired US Dollar weakness. This, in turn, is seen as a key factor acting as a tailwind for the non-yielding yellow metal ahead of the critical US NFP release. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple show no sign of recovery

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple show signs of cautious stabilization on Wednesday after failing to close above their key resistance levels earlier this week. BTC trades below $69,000, while ETH and XRP also encountered rejection near major resistance levels. With no immediate bullish catalyst, the top three cryptocurrencies continue to show no clear signs of a sustained recovery.

Dollar drops and stocks rally: The week of reckoning for US economic data

Following a sizeable move lower in US technology Stocks last week, we have witnessed a meaningful recovery unfold. The USD Index is in a concerning position; the monthly price continues to hold the south channel support.

BNB prolonged correction signals deeper bearish momentum
BNB (BNB), formerly known as Binance Coin, is trading below $618 on Wednesday, marking the sixth consecutive day of correction since the weekend. The bearish price action is further supported by rising short bets alongside negative funding rates in the derivatives market.