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EUR/GBP: The key support at 0.8304 has held thus far

EUR/JPY

Strong recovery bounce continues.

  • EUR/JPY has breached trendline resistance at 116.75. Key resistance stands at 117.43 then 122.88 (13/03/0217 high). Major support is given at 114.90 (18/04/2017low).

  • In the longer term, the technical structure validates a medium-term succession of lower highs and lower lows. As a result, the resistance at 149.78 (08/12/2014 high) has likely marked the end of the rise that started in July 2012. Strong support at 94.12 (24/07/2012 low) looks nonetheless far away.

EURJPY

EUR/GBP

The key support at 0.8304 has held thus far.

  • EUR/GBP remains weak but has thus far successfully challenged its key support at 0.8304. Resistances for a temporary rebound are given by 0.8388 (intraday high) and 0.8512 (18/04/2017 reaction high). The short-term technical structure is negative as long as the resistance at 0.8596 holds. Expected to show continued weakness.

  • In the long-term, the pair has largely recovered from recent lows in 2015. The technical structure suggests a growing upside momentum. The pair is trading above from its 200 DMA. Strong resistance can be found at 0.9500 psychological level.

EURGBP

EUR/CHF

Breaching the resistance at 1.0693

  • EUR/CHF is in an uptrend as long as the support at 1.0693 (19/04/2017 low and declining trendline) holds. The medium-term pattern suggests us to see continued bearish pressures towards key support that can be found at 1.0623 (24/06/2016 low). Key resistance is given by 1.0720.Expected to see further decline.

  • In the longer term, the technical structure is mixed. Resistance can be found at 1.1200 (04/02/2015 high). Yet,the ECB's QE programme is likely to cause persistent selling pressures on the euro, which should weigh on EUR/CHF. Supports can be found at 1.0184 (28/01/2015 low) and 1.0082 (27/01/2015 low).

EURCHF

Author

Peter A Rosenstreich

Peter A Rosenstreich

Swissquote Bank Ltd

Peter Rosenstreich is Swissquote Bank’s Head of Market Strategy and manages the global strategy desk; he has held various positions in several banking institutions in the United States, Europe & Asia.

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