|

Elliott Wave live: Markets waiting for Powell and the next big move [Video]

Good day everyone, I hope you had a wonderful weekend.

As you know, last week the dollar came off new 2025 lows after the Fed decided to cut rates by 25 basis points, but Powell sounded a bit concerned about inflation risks. That’s why the dollar has seen an interesting recovery in the last few sessions, while stocks slowed down their previous bullish momentum. I’m wondering if we could see more dollar recovery after a near-term retracement, which could even show up during some of the Fed policymakers’ speeches due today and tomorrow.

However, the key data for the dollar and yields, and potential new decisions later this year will be the US Core PCE report, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, which will be released on Friday.

Looking at the Dollar Index wave structure, we have a very nice rebound, and I’m wondering if maybe the low is already in place since price pushed closed in green on Friday. Personally, I would not be surprised if the dollar has already bottomed and will see more gains, but likely after some pullback first, which I will pay close attention to this week. My focus will certainly be EURUSD on the short side.

In webinar today, I also looked at metals which can be in fifth wave, while cryptos are coming down on clear “futures market manipulation”


Get Full Access To Our Premium Elliott Wave Analysis For 14 Days. Click here.


Get Full Access To Our Premium Elliott Wave Analysis For 14 Days. Click here.

Author

Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat

Wavetraders

Experience Grega is based in Slovenia and has been in the Forex market since 2003.

More from Gregor Horvat
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gathers strength above 1.1750 as Fed rate cut prospects pressure US Dollar

The EUR/USD pair trades in positive territory around 1.1775 during the early Asian session on Monday. The prospect of a US Federal Reserve rate cut in 2026 weighs on the US Dollar against the Euro. Markets brace for US President Donald Trump to nominate a Fed chair to replace Jerome Powell, whose term ends in May. 

GBP/USD edges lower near 0.7400, eyes Fed rate cut outlook

GBP/USD edges lower after a gap-up open, trading around 0.7410 during the Asian hours on Monday. However, the pair may gain ground as the US Dollar faces challenges, which could be attributed to growing expectations of two more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026.

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.