ECB Maintains Accommodative Policy Stance

Jay Bryson Wells Fargo

Special Commentary

The main event of the week turned out to be the regularly-scheduled policy meeting that was held at the European Central Bank (ECB) on Thursday. Although there were some mixed moves by the Governing Council of the ECB, the outcome was, on balance, dovish. Moreover, the Governing Council indicated that it is prepared to ease policy further, if necessary.

The ECB has been buying assets (mostly government bonds) from the private sector for nearly two years with its recent pace of purchases totaling €80 billion per month. This quantitative easing (QE) program has led to a marked increase in the size of the ECB’s balance sheet over the past two years (Figure 1). The ECB’s QE program was set to expire in March 2017, so most analysts had looked for some sort of decision on Thursday regarding the longevity of the QE program. In the event, the Governing Council announced that it would dial back its purchase rate to €60 billion per month starting in April 2017. This decision surprised most analysts because they had not expected the ECB to announce a “tapering” in its monthly purchase rate just yet.

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Author

Jay Bryson

Wells Fargo

Jay Bryson is a managing director and global economist at Wells Fargo providing analysis on financial markets and macroeconomic developments in the major economies of the world. He is based in Charlotte, N.

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