|

Donald Trump’s inauguration: What it means for Oil, the US Dollar and crypto [Video]

Today marks Donald Trump’s return to office, and while the inauguration brings its share of spectacle, the real focus for traders lies in its potential market impacts and US Dollar movements. Early reactions are already unfolding, with Bitcoin pulling back from all-time highs while holding above $100K, oil prices declining as Trump promises increased domestic production, and the US Dollar Index experiencing a significant 150-pip surge overnight. Major currency pairs like the GBP/USD and EUR/USD are testing key support levels, raising questions about potential corrections.

Trump’s campaign promises are at the heart of these shifts. His tariff rhetoric, while bold, is already showing signs of being scaled back. Much like his earlier ventures—such as the infamous “Trump Steaks”—these promises may ultimately prove less aggressive than initially advertised. This uncertainty is reflected in the US Dollar’s recent sell-off.

On immigration, Trump’s plan to deport millions of undocumented workers and reinvest in his border wall also faces practical challenges. With unemployment at 4% and a rising minimum wage, removing large segments of the workforce could lead to labor shortages and inflationary pressures, further complicating the economic outlook

Energy markets are feeling the effects of Trump’s push for increased oil production. In anticipation of higher supply, oil prices have already dropped in recent days, and further declines remain possible as policies take shape.

As Trump’s presidency begins, traders must stay alert to the evolving landscape. His policies, while ambitious, are already being tempered by practical realities, creating opportunities and risks across markets. The coming months promise volatility, making it essential to monitor these developments closely.  

Author

Nathan Bray

Nathan Bray

ACY Securities

Experienced Key Strategic Partnership Manager with a demonstrated history of working in the financial services industry. Skilled in FX Hedging, Microsoft Word, Sales, Public Speaking, and Management.

More from Nathan Bray
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs to multi-week tops near 1.1700

EUR/USD rapidly leaves behind four consecutive daily pullbacks, challenging the 1.1700 hurdle in response to the severe sell-off in the Greenback as investors continued to evaluate the Fed’s rate cut and the neutral message from Chief Powell. Next on tap on the docket will be the weekly US labour market report on Thursday.

GBP/USD rebounds following Fed’s third straight rate trim

GBP/USD punched a fresh hole into seven-week highs on Wednesday, rising back into the 1.3400 neighborhood after the Federal Reserve delivered a widely expected third straight interest rate cut. Fed Chair Jerome Powell gave a particularly cautious showing, hinting that the Fed could be poised for another extended “wait and see” period.

Gold drifts higher above $4,200 as Fed delivers expected cut

Gold price gains momentum to around $4,235 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal extends its upside after the US Federal Reserve delivered an expected third consecutive interest rate cut and maintained its outlook for just one cut in 2026. Traders will keep an eye on the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims later on Thursday. 

Bitcoin treasuries return to action as American Bitcoin, Strive and Strategy deliver buying update

Bitcoin digital asset treasuries are returning to action following a slight recovery in the top crypto. American Bitcoin, co-founded by the Trump brothers, acquired 416 BTC, worth about $38.5 million, since its last update on December 2. The purchase has pushed the company's total holdings to 4,783 BTC as of December 8, making it the 22nd-largest BTC treasury, behind ProCap Financial, according to Bitcoin Treasuries data.

Fed projects only 50 bps of additional rate cuts between 2026 and 2027; lifts GDP forecasts

The Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) latest dot plot, released on Wednesday, indicates that interest rates will average 3.4% by the end of 2026, in line with the September projection.

Hyperliquid eyes $30 breakout despite declining staking balance

Hyperliquid is trading above $28.00 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after rebounding from support at $27.50. The broader cryptocurrency market is characterised by widespread intraday losses ahead of the Fed monetary policy decision.