|

Dollar Index (DXY) forecasting the rally after three waves pull back

In this technical article we’re going to take a quick look at the Elliott Wave charts of Dollar Index DXY , published in members area of the website. As our members know, Dollar is still trading within the cycle from the September’s low.  Recently, we saw a 3-wave pullback, followed by a solid rally as expected. In the further text, we are going to explain the wave count.

DXY H1 New York  01.06.2025

The current view suggests that the Dollar Index completed a 3-wave pullback from the peak, ending at the 107.751 low and labeled as wave ((ii)) blue. A sharp rally followed from this low, appearing impulsive. We have labeled this short-term cycle as wave i red, indicating the start of a new bullish cycle. A 3-wave pullback in wave ii red is anticipated before the rally resumes. We expect the Dollar Index to continue finding intraday sellers in 3, 7, and 11 swings.

Chart

DXY H1 New York update 01.07.2025

We saw a 3-wave pullback in ii red, followed by a move up. The key level is 107.751. While the price stays above it, we expect more rally in the Dollar Index, ideally towards new highs. A break above the previous peak ((i)) black will confirm that wave ((iii)) is in progress.

Chart

DXY H1 New York update 01.08.2025

The 107.751 low held as expected, and the price moved higher. We got a decent rally in Dollar index. The price is now approaching the previous peak, and we are looking for a break above wave ((i)) black to confirm further strength.

Chart

Author

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

ElliottWave-Forecast.com

More from Elliott Wave Forecast Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.