|

Dollar dives on Trump tensions

Today's Highlights

  • US Dollar could fall further on Fed speech

  • G20 in focus for currency markets

Current Market Overview

The US Dollar hit a multi-month low against the Euro and the Japanese Yen on Tuesday 25thJune, on the prospects of monetary easing by the Federal Reserve and concerns about US tensions with China and Iran. The US Dollar Index fell to its lowest level in three months to 95.943 against six of its currency rivals, having lost 1.7% during the latest five currency trading sessions. The US Dollar weakness was most notable against what are traditionally seen as safe haven assets, such as the Swiss Franc and Gold, while even received a boost from the Middle East tensions in the flight to some sort of certainty.

The Dollar has been sold heavily since the US Federal Reserve last week alluded to cutting interest rates before the end of the year, as concerns increase about what the trade tariff wars President Donald Trump is waging against China and other US trading partners could mean for the US economy and its currency.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and a few other of its policymakers are due to speak later on today, so beware further movement for the US Dollar this afternoon.

It is also likely to be a volatile week for a number of currencies while the G20 Summit takes place, particularly as Trump is speaking with representatives from China later in the week.

What to watch out for next?

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) rate decision will be announced this evening, along with US Federal Reserve Chair Powell speaking later today, so these will be the focus for markets today.


Commentary from the Halo Financial Team. Need a trusted FX broker? Register today for more insights and strategies.

Author

Halo Financial Team

Halo Financial Team

Halo Financial

More from Halo Financial Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.