|

Dollar dips, trade tensions ease, risk assets rally

Important News for the day

  • Tue, 01st, 16:00 CET US ISM Manufacturing PMI/JOLTS Job Openings.

Trade deals

Despite previously stated the US government is stepping back on their stand in regards to reciprocal tariffs. Instead, narrow agreements seem to be made by now in order to avoid addid new tariffs again. The previously communicated deadline for such agreements is the 9th of July, before harsh tariffs would come into place again. In most cases a levy of 10% still remain in place. In general an agreement has only been made with the UK and a tentative truce has been signed with China. A reason for potential further weakness of the Dollar. Long- term US bonds seem to gear up some demand currently.

Market talk

The Dollar is starting weaker into the fresh month without any signs of profit taking for now. The negative momentum also helps equities to run higher while Gold and Silver also rise, backed by the weaker Greenback. On the other hand oil prices continue to fall as geopolitical tensions move out of focus. With the major news event due this week traders should still be cautious with current markets. The direction could change at any given time and we still expected some strength of the Dollar at some point soon.

Tendencies in the markets

  • Equities positive, USD weak, Bitcoin positive, ETH positive, oil weak, Silver sideways, Gold positive, JPY stronger.

Author

Frank Walbaum

Frank Walbaum

FX Strategies.Asia

Frank has been working in the TV business for several years. Acquiring his skills in Germany’s biggest broadcasting station, he then chose to work and live in Asia, which was in 2007.

More from Frank Walbaum
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.