|

Daily Technical Outlook on Major - GBPUSD

    DAILY GBP/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
Last Update At 16 Oct 2018 00:06GMT

Trend Daily Chart
Sideways

Daily Indicators
Rising

21 HR EMA
1.3151

55 HR EMA
1.3158

Trend Hourly Chart
Sideways

Hourly Indicators
Neutral

13 HR RSI
52

14 HR DMI
+ve

Daily Analysis
Choppy consolidation to continue

Resistance
1.3298 - Sep high (20th)
1.3259 - Last Fri's high
1.3182 - Y'day's high

Support
1.3127 - Y'day's NY low
1.3080 - Y'day's low (NZ)
1.3028 - Last week's low (Mon)

  • GBP/USD - 1.3155.. Although cable opened lower n fell to 1.3080 (NZ) Mon following Sun's stalemate in Brexit talks, price erased its losses n rallied to 1.3182 in Europe. Cable later retreated to 1.3127 in NY morning on profit taking.

  • Looking at the bigger picture 1st, cable's rally fm 2016 31-year bottom at 1.1491 caused by a 'flash crash' on Brexit worries to 1.3659 (Sep 2017) confirms major low has been made. Despite rally in Jan to post-Brexit fresh 21-month peak at 1.4377 (Feb), subsequent selloff to Aug's 13-1/2 month low at 1.2662 suggests top has been made. Having said that, cable's rise to Sep's 2-month high at 1.3298 indicates said fall fm 1.4377 has made a temp. low, however, last week's weakness to 1.2922 (Thur) signals at least the 1st leg of correction over n choppy side- ways trading is seen n would head to 1.2905 (61.8% r), break would extend fall to 1.2786 in Oct. On the upside, abv 1.3298 would risk stronger gain twd 1.3363.

  • Today, cable's selloff fm 1.3259 to as low as 1.3080 suggests choppy trad ing below Sep's 1.3298 peak would continue n despite subsequent rally to 1.3182, another fall is envisaged after consolidation, below 1.3080 would head to 1.3028/ 33 n only abv 1.3226/30 may risk re-test of 1.3259 but 1.3298 should hold.

GBPUSD

Interested in GBPUSD technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 1.3293
    2. R2 1.3238
    3. R1 1.3195
  1. PP 1.314
    1. S1 1.3097
    2. S2 1.3042
    3. S3 1.2999

Author

AceTrader Team

Led by world-renowned technical analyst Wilson Leung, we have a team of 7 analysts monitoring the market and updating our recommendations and commentaries 24 hours a day.

More from AceTrader Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.