Currency Market: Close price comparisons and FX weekly

Brian Twomey Brian's Investment

From weekly close comparisons, 9/18 to 9/25, GBP/CHF was the big mover at 168 pips followed by CAD/JPY at 143 pips, USD/CAD 126 pips, EUR/JPY 90 pips, NZD/CHF 80 pips, GBP/AUD 67, GBP/USD 63 , AUD/JPY 47, GBP/CAD 44 and EUR/NZD 43 pips.

Losers to closing prices was EUR/AUD closed at 1.6131 in each of 2 weeks for no change followed by EUR/USD 6 pips, AUD/USD 6 pips, CAD/CHF 3 pips, GBP/JPY 38 pips, GBP/NZD 20, NZD/JPY and NZD/USD at 27 pips.

From weekly close comparisons 9/4 to 9/11, GBP/AUD was the big winner at 212 pips followed by GBP/CAD 192, USD/CAD 163, EUR/AUD 120, AUD/JPY 104, AUD/USD 101, CAD/JPY 97, GBP/NZD 85, EUR/USD 70, AUD/CHF 68.

Losers to weekly close comparisons 9/4 to 9/11: EUR/NZD 4 pips, GBP/JPY 10 pips, NZD/CHF 14, GBP/USD 22 pips, GBP/CHF 25, NZD/USD 30, NZD/JPY 31, EUR/JPY 51 pips.

From monthly close comparisons, USD/CAD and CAD/JPY were clear to big movers followed by GBP/AUD, AUD/CHF and AUD/JPY.

Losers to monthly close comparisons GBP/JPY, NZD/USD, NZD/JPY, EUR/NZD.

DXY

From 9/4 to 9/11 close difference 55 pips and 24 pips 9/18 to 9/25.

FX Weekly

USD/JPY begins the week massive overbought followed by overbought USD/CHF and oversold USD/CAD. Last week, USD/CAD and USD/CHF were overbought and USD/JPY neutral.

JPY cross pairs last week were oversold and this week best trades are located in AUD/JPY, CAD/JPY and CHF/JPY. EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY and NZD/JPY remain last in the JPY cross pair rankings.

Best currencies to trade this week: EUR/USD, AUD/USD, AUD/JPY, NZD/USD, EUR/AUD, USD/CAD, CAD/JPY, CAD/CHF.

CAD/CHF was added again to weekly trades. CAD/CHF Correlations to USD/CAD run -91% and +91% to CAD/JPY.

NZD/USD is again deeply oversold to begin the week as was the situation last week but NZD/USD and NZD cross pairs contain range and Noise problems.

GBP

Best trades: GBP/USD, GBP/CHF and GBP/CAD. GBP/JPY remains dead last as GBP/JPY sits on a vital MA and GBP/JPY lacks range however massive overbought USD/JPY will assist GBP/JPY's drop.

Weekly Trade USD/CAD

USD/CAD runs almost the exact same trade as last week. The option remains open for long USD/CAD as the 1st leg however trades and rankings are based on easy trades and easy profits without struggle, guesses or gambling.

1st Leg

Short 1.2700 and 1.2713 to target 1.2629.

Price path to target: 1.2687, 1.2674, 1.2661, 1.2648, 1.2635 and 1.2622

2nd Leg

Short below 1.2609 to target 1.2557

3rd Leg

Long 1.2557 to target 1.2583.

4th Leg

Long 1.2629 to target 1.2661.

Author

Brian Twomey

Brian's Investment

Brian Twomey is an independent trader and a prolific writer on trading, having authored over sixty articles in Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities and Investopedia.

EUR/USD faces next resistance near 1.1930

EUR/USD continues to build on its recovery in the latter part of Wednesday’s session, with upside momentum accelerating as the pair retargets the key 1.1900 barrier amid a further loss of traction in the US Dollar. Attention now shifts squarely to the US data docket, with labour market figures and the always influential CPI releases due on Thursday and Friday, respectively.

GBP/USD sticks to the bullish tone near 1.3660

GBP/USD maintains its solid performance on Wednesday, hovering around the 1.3660 zone as the Greenback surrenders its post-NFP bounce. Cable, in the meantime, should now shift its attention to key UK data due on Thursday, including preliminary GDP gauges.

Gold holds on to higher ground ahead of the next catalyst

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place on Wednesday, retargeting the $5,100 zone per troy ounce on the back of modest losses in the US Dollar and despite firm US Treasury yields across the curve. Moving forward, the yellow metal’s next test will come from the release of US CPI figures on Friday.