|

Crude Oil Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

WTI Oil Elliott Wave analysis

WTI is still under pressure after being resisted returning to the 80s in October. Thus, the commodity has recorded a net loss in the last four weeks, adding to the sell-off from March 2022, when it was traded for close to $131. From a technical standpoint, the downside risk is still strong, and traders may see the commodity plummet to $60 in the coming weeks or days.

On the daily chart, the sell-off from $130.91 is corrective and unfolding into a double zigzag structure. from the big picture, the commodity is correcting the impulse rally starting from the Covid low in April 2020 to March 2022 when it reached a $130.91 peak.

Wave ((W)) finished at 63.5 in May 2023 then followed by a triangle structure for wave ((X)) which finished at 85.5 in July 2024. From July, wave ((Y)) has evolved. Based on the previous and current price action, we will anticipate a double or triple zigzag structure for wave ((Y)) which could extend to $41 in the coming months. However, $60.6 is the next target where we expect wave (W) of ((Y)) to finish before another bounce for (X).

Oil

On the H4 chart price is unfolding as a flat structure for wave (b) of ((y)) of Y. While the current bounce is capped below the November highs, further decline could ensue toward $60.6 in the short term.

OIL

Crude Oil Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trades around 1.1700 after rebounding from 50-day EMA

EUR/USD gains ground after three days of losses, trading around 1.1700 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a potential for a bearish bias; the 14-day Relative Strength Index at 47 confirms waning momentum.

GBP/USD climbs above 1.3500 as US Dollar weakens ahead of ISM Services PMI

GBP/USD gains some ground after registering modest gains in the previous session, trading around 1.3510 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair edges higher as the US Dollar struggles ahead of the US ISM Services Purchasing Managers’ Index and JOLTs job openings due later in the day.

Gold pulls back from $4,500 amid profit-taking ahead of key US macro data

Gold struggles to capitalize on its strong weekly gains registered over the past two days and faces rejection near the $4,500 psychological mark, or over a one-week high touched during the Asian session on Wednesday. As investors digest the recent US attack on Venezuela, the prevalent risk-on environment prompts some profit-taking around the commodity. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple cool off as rally stalls near key resistance zones

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices are taking a breather on Wednesday near their key resistance levels following the recent surge. BTC faces rejection at the $94,253 level, while ETH and XRP follow BTC’s footsteps, struggling near $3,308 and $2.35, respectively.

Implications of US intervention in Venezuela

Events in Venezuela are top of mind for market participants, and while developments are associated with an elevated degree of uncertainty, we are not making any changes to our markets or economic forecasts as a result of the deposition of Nicolás Maduro. 

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE eyes bullish breakout as on-chain and derivatives data turns supportive

Aave (AAVE) price hovers around $172 on Wednesday, nearing the upper trendline of the falling parallel channel pattern. A break above this technical pattern favors the bulls.