Conflicting perspectives raise eyebrows
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Speculative positioning in VIX futures shows investors expect volatility to remain low, which implies an absence of growth or inflation shocks
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The flattening of the US yield curve shows investors expect slower growth
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These conflicting views may reflect differences in investment horizon but in the end, only one of the two can get it right, which is a source of concern

Author

BNP Paribas Team
BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas Economic Research Department is a worldwide function, part of Corporate and Investment Banking, at the service of both the Bank and its customers.

















