|

Charts of the week: AUD/JPY & GBP/USD move to critical levels, extensions likely

As we head into the closing trading days of the year, two charts have stood out the most – AUD/JPY & GBP/USD. However, holiday lull likely means consolidation and profit-taking. 

AUD/JPY bulls targetting 76.50 ahead of 77.50

  • Broken the weekly down channel resistance.
  • Supported by the 21 200-week moving average.
  • Weekly RSI/Stock and MACD have upside.
  • Next upside targets can be located at 76.34/50 and 77.54. 

Supported by the 21 200-week moving average, AUD/JPY has been grinding its way higher within an ascending wedge pattern as traders buy the dip on positive fundamentals. The price action ended last week technically bullish with momentum indicators in positive territories with plenty of upsides yet to go on the longer-term time frames, such as the daily and weekly charts – Weekly RSI/Stock and MACD have upside. 

Bulls extended the Thursday close above the 200-day moving average on Friday making for three days of consecutive higher highs and lows. The December low so far has been higher than the November and October lows, bullishly reinforced by a higher December high versus the November high and price action paints a bullish bias. The move has also broken the weekly down channel resistance. While liquidity in thin out there, outside of a surprise geopolitical trigger, it is highly unlikely that we will see additional moves unlit after the holiday lull. However, the next upside targets can be located at 76.34/50 and 77.54. 

GBP/USD bears seeking critical support down at Nov 7th lows

  • GBP/USD testing the 200 4-hour moving average.
  • GBP/USD closes below a key support at 1.3011.
  • Bears eye a 38.2% Fibo retracement confluence target (50-DMA) around 1.2920.
  • The 7th Nov lows are located at 1.2768 ahead of 50% Fibo around 1.2740. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to gains near 1.3650 after mixed UK data

GBP/USD trades in positive territory at around 1.3650 in the European session on Friday as the upbeat PMI data supports Pound Sterling despite disappointing Retail Sales figures. Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) struggles to stay resilient against its peers following the Treasury Department's decision to boost long-term bond purchases earlier in the week, helping the pair hold its ground ahead of US PMI data.

EUR/USD holds near 1.1700 ahead of US PMI data

EUR/USD consolidates its weekly gains at around 1.1700 in the European session on Friday following the mixed PMI prints from Germany and the Eurozone. Investors await preliminary August PMI surveys for the US, while the persistent USD weakness allows the pair to keep its footing.

Gold hits fresh high since June above $4,550 as receding Fed hike bets undermine USD

Gold sticks to modest gains near its highest level since early June, touched earlier this Friday, and trades just above $4,550 heading into the European session. The commodity is looking to build on the breakout momentum above a technically significant 200-day Simple Moving Average amid a weaker US Dollar. Traders scaled back their bets on an immediate interest rate hike by the Fed after the latest US inflation data released last week signaled signs of cooling price pressures.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP bulls accelerate rally amid rising ETF inflows

The cryptocurrency market remains bullish on Friday, led by Bitcoin’s surge above $77,000. Altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, mirror BTC’s positive outlook, trading near $2,400 and $1.35, respectively.

The Japanese Yen’s historic rescue is running out of steam
The Japanese Yen staged a spectacular 900-pip comeback after a historic US-Japan intervention. Less than three weeks later, that rescue is already showing signs of fading. The Yen is benefiting somewhat from a softer US Dollar, but its downward trend is likely to resume as the underlying pressure on the currency has not disappeared.
$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.