|

Charts of the day: All eyes on cryptocurrencies

Highlights:

  • Tesla decision and Bitcoin’s 15 percent decline has all eyes on cryptocurrencies
  • With technology stocks remaining under pressure, investors are turning to value stocks
  • Key theme in FX markets has been the renewed Dollar strength following higher than expected inflation data
  • Commodity currencies come under pressure amid increased risk aversion

Bitcoin

All eyes are on cryptocurrencies at the moment, after Bitcoin declined more than 15 percent at one point. Some investors see it as opportunity to buy the dip, while others remain cautious. Tesla CEO Elon Musk´s u-turn on Bitcoin – with an announcement that the company will stop accepting BTC as a payment method due to "rapidly increasing use of fossil fuels for Bitcoin mining" – sent shockwaves through the crypto community, as many saw in him as one of Bitcoin´s biggest fans. Almost all major cryptocurrencies came under pressure following the announcement.

Looking at the charts, BTC/USD already broke below the $47k support level, but managed to recover some of its losses towards the end of the trading day. However, a daily close below this level would pave the way for a decline towards $43,976, which is the February low. Bitcoin bulls need this support level to hold, as a breakout would spell trouble and downside momentum could quickly accelerate. To the topside, stronger resistance should be expected at $52,332 and again at $53,446


Ethereum

Ethereum almost stole the spotlight from Bitcoin over the past few days, hitting a new record high on a daily basis. The cryptocurrency has been benefiting from increased interest by institutional investors as well as investors who see the cryptocurrency as more advanced than Bitcoin. At the same time, with Bitcoin starting to look more mature, investors chasing opportunities have been turning to other cryptocurrencies.

From a technical perspective, the short-term outlook for ETH/USD remains positive. The cryptocurrency bounced once again off the $3520 support level, and the H4 chart is showing positive RSI divergence. With the pressure mostly on Bitcoin, Ethereum should be able to recover from the recent sell-off fairly quickly. Bulls are eyeing the record high at $4379 as next target. On the other hand, a breakout below $3520 could lead to further momentum selling, but ETH/USD should find strong support ahead of the psychological support level at $3000.

US30

While technology stocks remain under pressure, investors are turning to value stocks, which helped the broader market to recover. The USTECH index is struggling to gain momentum, but the US30 staged an intraday comeback and is set to extend gains in the near-term. The index is approaching the 50% Fibonacci level of the recent sell-off and a breakout could pave the way for a rally towards the 34,720/40 resistance zone, and eventually the record high.

USDCAD

The FX market has not seen the kind of volatility that the crypto and stock market have been experiencing recently, but the key theme has been the renewed Dollar strength following higher than expected inflation data. Meanwhile, commodity currencies have come under pressure amid increased risk aversion.

We recently noted the risk of a short squeeze in USD/CAD amid heavily oversold conditions and with the Dollar having caught a bid and Oil prices slightly under pressure, this seems increasingly likely in the near-term. The currency pair is facing immediate resistance at 1.22. A clear breakout above this level should help it gain momentum and push price towards the key 1.2350 resistance level (which is also the 50% Fibonacci level of the April decline), where sellers are likely to return in greater numbers.

Author

Milan Cutkovic

Milan Cutkovic joined AxiTrader in 2014 and has over five years of experience in trading and market analysis. He was one of the first traders in the AxiSelect program, which enables traders to develop their trading career.

More from Milan Cutkovic
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD weakens toward 1.1600 as firm US data revives the US Dollar

The EUR/USD edged lower on Thursday, down some 0.21% as market sentiment remains risk averse due to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. This and solid US economic data pushed the pair lower towards the 1.1600 figure ahead of Friday’s session.

GBP/USD drifts lower heading into NFP range

GBP/USD edged lower by 0.2% on Thursday, settling close to 1.3350 in a strained trading session that kept the pair pinned near three-month lows. Price briefly recovered earlier in the day on reports that Iran had indirectly signaled openness to talks with the CIA, but the bounce faded as Israeli officials reportedly advised Washington to disregard the overture. 

Gold slumps below $5,100 as US Dollar gains

Gold price tumbles to near $5,085 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal loses ground amid a stronger US Dollar. The US employment report for February will take center stage later on Friday. 

NYSE parent Intercontinental Exchange partners with OKX, invests at a $25B valuation

OKX announced an investment from Intercontinental Exchange, raising its valuation to $25 billion, alongside a partnership to expand regulated crypto futures and tokenized equity offerings globally.

Two PMIs, two Chinas

China’s economic data are often treated with a degree of caution by global investors. The challenge is not necessarily that the numbers are incorrect, but that they can describe very different parts of a vast and complex economy. Nowhere is that more evident than in China’s PMIs.

Ripple tests recovery strength amid steady ETF inflows, growing retail interest

Ripple (XRP) continues to demonstrate notable resilience as the cryptocurrency market navigates the persistent war in the Middle East after the United States (US) and Israel attacked Iran on Saturday.