|

Chart of The Week: Gold bears burst into the barroom-brawl zone

  • Bullish longer-term trajectory stalling as market sentiment turns positive. 
  • Bears taking control towards a weekly 1620 downside target.
  • Barroom-brawl could make for a choppy continuation to the downside.

The price of gold has continued within the bearish trajectory highlighted in last week's analysis here: Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD bearish case for the contrarians out there.

With the price now in a confirmed bearish trend, according to MACD, bullish corrections would be expected to be short-lived while respecting the resistance structure around 1700.

Further extensions are expected towards the next major support level and higher volume-profile nodes in the 1620/40s.

Weekly Chart: Bearish near-term, bullish longer-term

Daily Chart: Bears break below prior support, enter the barroom brawl

The barroom-brawl zones are otherwise known as consolidation, often as a consequence when key levels of support and resistance are broken and around key levels. Traders can be caught out here and can make the mistake of getting trapped or involved in a messy chop of prices moving up and down in non-predictable price action.

Ideally, bears will have their stops above the support and resistance structure, targeting the 1620s. 

Test and failure at trendline resistance confirms the bearish trend

On a pullback, at this juncture, sell-limit order at resistance with stop loss above structure would be preferable to selling at recent lows.

4HR chart shows near-term resistance 

As can be seen in the 4HR time frame, MACD is bearish, price is below 21 and 200 bearish moving averages and cross-over. The 50-day moving average meets old support and the 50/61.8% Fibonacci retracements of the prior bearish impulse should offer resistance also. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits near monthly high, around 0.7035 on hawkish RBA

AUD/USD trades around 0.7030-0.7035 in the Asian session on Thursday, near its monthly top, as recent hawkish comments from RBA officials continue to underpin the Australian Dollar. The US Dollar, meanwhile, struggles to lure buyers amid further declines in US bond yields, adding support to the pair. However, Fed rate-hike bets and geopolitical uncertainty help limit losses for the safe-haven buck, warranting caution for Aussie bulls.

USD/JPY remains confined in a familiar range; holds steady above 158.00

USD/JPY extends its consolidative price action through Thursday's Asian session, trading just above 158.00 amid diverging forces. Uncertainty over the timing of the next BoJ rate hike keeps Japanese Yen bulls on the defensive. The US Dollar, meanwhile, languishes near multi-week low amid declining US bond yields. Furthermore, looming intervention risks limit JPY losses and cap the pair. Traders also seem hesitant ahead of the Fed and BoJ meetings next week.

Gold hangs near one-week low; eyes $4,100 break amid Fed hike bets

Gold attracts fresh sellers in Thursday’s Asian session, sliding closer to a one-week low touched the previous day. Firming expectations for an imminent Fed rate hike, bolstered by oil-driven inflation risks, weigh on the non-yielding bullion. Meanwhile, declining US bond yields counter geopolitical uncertainty, keeping US Dollar bulls on the defensive. This helps XAU/USD defend $4,100.

Dogecoin Labs launches, resistance looms
Dogecoin (DOGE) Labs launched Wednesday in partnership with the Dogecoin Foundation, bringing together several product teams and technologies to expand the use of the memecoin (DOGE) across payments, decentralized finance (DeFi) and consumer applications. The launch will consolidate MyDoge, DogeOS and Such App under one business, led by Jordan Jefferson, founder of MyDoge and DogeOS.
What the midterm elections mean for Treasury yields, the Dollar and Gold
Democrats are priced to take the House, so November 3 comes down to the Senate and how much Washington can borrow without the other party. Treasury yields will show the answer first, then the Dollar and Gold. On November 3, Americans vote for all 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats. For bond prices, the result comes down to one thing: how much the government will borrow over the next two years.
The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything
Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.