CBR's interest rate increase announcement

Lukman Otunuga ForexTime (FXTM)

The past two days have gone some distance towards reshaping investor confidence towards central bank independence after the Russian Central Bank (CBR) just announced an interest rate increase. The CBR caught markets unprepared by raising key rates by 25 pbs to 7.50% just one day after the Turkish Central Bank raised its benchmark rates sharply. Both the Lira and Ruble have in recent weeks come under pressure over political interference into potential central bank policy.

While the CBR stated that the rate hike was based on inflationary risks to the economy and external uncertainty, there seems to be a strong trend of EM central banks tightening monetary policy to defend their local currencies. This move should continue to improve risk appetite towards those currencies that have been punished over the past month. The South African Rand for example edged higher following the moves from both the Turkish and Russian Central Banks.

In the FX markets, the USDRUB tumbled towards 67.50. Repeated Dollar weakness could send the USDRUB to levels not seen since mid-August, pushing prices below 67.00.

Author

Lukman Otunuga

ForexTime (FXTM)

Lukman Otunuga has been a Research Analyst at FXTM since 2015. A keen follower of macroeconomic events, with a strong professional and academic background in finance, Lukman is well versed in fundamental and technical analysis.

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans.

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.