|

Can Tesla and others cause a “reverse market bubble”?

American tech companies' wings were clipped yesterday. Nasdaq100 index, which at the beginning of trading in the U.S. exceeded 11000, ended the day with a 4% decline from the peak levels. The situation, which developed at exceptionally high speeds in recent days, was similar to the profit taking seen in the previous multi-month rally.

Tech companies and "growth companies" in general have been pulling up indices since late March, raising Nasdaq by 66%. Apple almost doubled in price, going from 212 to 400 and some brands showed even more impressive results. For example, the capitalization of Tesla took off more than five times since then, raising the stock price to almost $1,800 from $350.

Such abnormal growth led to a situation where quotes simply fell under their own weight. After reaching the round levels that serve as a trigger to start taking-profit, the dynamic quickly gained momentum.

It is interesting that no serious movements were noticed in adjacent markets. S&P500 has lost 0.9%: in many respects, this is a consequence of the weight of the IT companies within it. Dow Jones closed Monday with 0% change, and on the currency market, there was a small bias against the dollar, which is often positive for stocks.

This is not the first time in modern history when high-tech companies led the growth of markets and then pulled them down during the correction period. In 2018, Nasdaq's slippage resulted in a correction of the entire market in the following weeks, resulting in a large sell-off at the end of that year.

Earlier we surmised that the current rally is mainly due to the interest of retailers. They tend to choose stocks in the portfolio not so much on the basis of multipliers and reporting, but on the basis of previous growth history. As in the case of the crypto market in 2017, with no new peaks, there is a risk of investor attitudes quickly reversing, resulting in a deep sell-off of recent leaders in growth, almost like a reverse bubble.

Author

Alexander Kuptsikevich

Alexander Kuptsikevich, a senior market analyst at FxPro, has been with the company since its foundation. From time to time, he gives commentaries on radio and television. He publishes in major economic and socio-political media.

More from Alexander Kuptsikevich
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.