|

Bitcoin - A Numbers Game

LOTTERY - 77, 77, 79. This may be a strange way to start a post, but those three numbers are all that matters in the world of Bitcoin at the moment. So what are these numbers? Some sort of new sequence relating to a technological breakthrough in the cryptocurrency? Nope. Those are the current readings of BTCUSD’s daily, weekly and monthly RSIs.

Bitcoin

OSCILLATOR - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a technical indicator in the form of an oscillator that gauges the level of extension in a market. Readings of 30-70 are considered normal, while anything that deviates on either side is considered to be overextended and at risk for reversal. 

MONTHLY - Now it isn’t a common event to see such readings extended across all major time frames and with the monthly chart the most extended of the group, tracking just around super overbought readings of 80, the likelihood that we see another big pullback using this analysis is quite high, even amidst news of the potential launch of a Bitcoin ETF in the US.

LEVELS - Bitcoin has finally managed to break through the 1163 2013 top, trading a record 1220 thus far, but at the same time, we would caution against any expectation for the market to be able to sustain any rallies beyond 1200.

OUTLOOK - Instead, consider the possibility for a more significant pullback into the 700s over the coming weeks, an area that we project would reflect healthier technical readings and a more appropriate valuation for the cryptocurrency, which is still in its infancy and still trying to figure it place in this world. A daily close below 1100 will strengthen this outlook.

Author

Joel Kruger

Joel Kruger

MarketPunks

Joel is a global macro trader and chief market punk at MarketPunks.

More from Joel Kruger
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to small gains near 1.1750

Following a short-lasting correction in the early European session, EUR/USD regains its traction and clings to moderate gains at around 1.1750 on Monday. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low, with investors awaiting this weeks key data releases from the US and the ECB policy announcements.

GBP/USD edges higher toward 1.3400 ahead of US data and BoE

GBP/USD reverses its direction and advances toward 1.3400 following a drop to the 1.3350 area earlier in the day. The US Dollar struggles to gather recovery momentum as markets await Tuesday's Nonfarm Payrolls data, while the Pound Sterling holds steady ahead of the BoE policy announcements later in the week.

Gold stuck around $4,300 as markets turn cautious

Gold loses its bullish momentum and retreats below $4,350 after testing this level earlier on Monday. XAU/USD, however, stays in positive territory as the US Dollar remains on the back foot on growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy outlook next year.

Solana consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout. On the institutional side, demand for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds remained firm, pushing total assets under management to nearly $1 billion since launch. 

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.