|

Big week ahead for commodities with FOMC, BoE and Saudi Arabia in focus – What's next? [Video]

A long list of the world’s most powerful Wall Street banks have described the current economic climate as “The Golden Age of Trading”. 

That comes as no surprise, considering 1 in 2 people have now turned to trading to capitalize on one of the greatest wealth transfer opportunities of our lifetime! 

Traders are pumping more money into Commodities right now than at any time in the last decade, to capitalize on the biggest macro themes driving the markets from Resurging Inflation, The Global Energy Shock 2.0 to an escalating Global Food Crisis, which is sending Agriculture prices skyrocketing to all-time record highs. 

This week is all about the macroeconomics with half of the world's G20 nations set to announce interest rate decisions. A 36-hour schedule of global monetary policy decisions may set the tone for the rest of the year as central banks grapple with the mantra of “higher for longer” and take account of the inflationary effect of booming energy prices. 

Official data released last week showed U.S inflation accelerated at a scorching pace in August for a second consecutive month – adding yet another layer of complexity to the Federal Reserve's efforts to bring consumer price pressures down to its 2% target. 

Mounting evidence suggests inflation isn’t fully tamed across much of the world and the unstoppable rise in energy prices is seen as a very reliable indicator that inflationary pressures could be heading back up in the 4th quarter of the year. 

Last week, WTI Crude Oil traded as high as $90.88 a barrel – tallying up a whopping gain of 41% since mid-June. 

Meanwhile, Brent Crude Oil closed in on the $95 a barrel mark to hit a fresh 2023 record high. Over the last three months, the world's most traded Oil benchmark has racking up a stunning gain of over 49% from its 2023 lows of $63.64 a barrel. 

And the rally might not stop there! 

Growing supply tightness and eroding inventories suggests that it's only a matter of time before Oil prices soar back above $100 a barrel. 

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman’s speech at the World Petroleum Congress this week will be closely watched for cues on Oil’s next big move. Expectations are running high that the energy minister may once again warn speculators against shorting the Crude Oil market.  

That's bullish news for Commodity traders, but bad news for the Federal Reserve and its global central-banking peers, who now face one of their biggest policy dilemmas ever. 

Where are prices heading next? Watch The Commodity Report now, for my latest price forecasts and predictions:

Author

Phil Carr

Phil Carr

The Gold & Silver Club

Phil is the co-founder and Head of Trading at The Gold & Silver Club, an international Commodities Trading Firm specializing in Metals, Energies and Soft Commodities.

More from Phil Carr
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.