|

Big week ahead for commodities with Fed, OPEC+ and NFP in focus – What’s next? [Video]

November kicks off with a series of high-impact events that traders will not want to miss out on including; two major central bank monetary policy meetings, a critical OPEC+ output decision as well as the latest U.S employment figures.

After having more than doubled the size of its balance sheet to $8.5 trillion since the start of the pandemic, it could now be time for the U.S Federal Reserve to start slowing down its monthly asset purchases.

That announcement could come as early as this week, when Fed officials conclude their monetary policy meeting on 3 November.

Expectations are also running high that The Bank of England will follow in the Fed's footsteps with an interest rate hike announcement on 4 November, as the UK economy battles inflationary pressures that have proved more persistent than previously anticipated.

Elsewhere this week, all eyes will be on OPEC and its allies as they meet on 4 November to decide whether or not to raise Oil output.

As rapidly soaring inflation pushes some central banks toward earlier-than-expected tapering, the U.S. Japan and India have put strong diplomatic pressure on the cartel to lower Oil prices by increasing its supply to the global market.

So far, OPEC and its allies have firmly resisted these pressures, which in turn has sent Oil prices skyrocketing above $50 a barrel, then $75 and now to more than $85 a barrel for the first time in seven-years.

Also on the radar this week will be the closely watched U.S jobs report for October, due for release on Friday. Traders will be paying huge attention to Friday’s data, especially as the previous Non-Farm Payroll reports have missed expectations for two consecutive months in a row.

Where are prices heading next? Watch The Commodity Report now, for my latest price forecasts and predictions:

Author

Phil Carr

Phil Carr

The Gold & Silver Club

Phil is the co-founder and Head of Trading at The Gold & Silver Club, an international Commodities Trading Firm specializing in Metals, Energies and Soft Commodities.

More from Phil Carr
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.