|

AUD/JPY Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Australian Dollar/Japanese Yen (AUDJPY) Day Chart  

AUD/JPY Elliott Wave technical analysis

Function: Counter Trend.                            

Mode: Impulsive as C.                            

Structure: Red wave C.                            

Position: Blue Wave Z.                          

Direction next lower degrees: Black wave C.                    

Details: Red wave B of Z looking completed, now red wave C of Z of B looking started. Wave Cancel invalid level:97.779.    

The AUD/JPY Elliott Wave Analysis for the Day Chart provides an overview of the current market trend and likely future developments in the Australian Dollar/Japanese Yen currency pair, utilizing the principles of Elliott Wave Theory.

Function

The function of this analysis is described as "Counter Trend." This indicates that the current wave structure represents a corrective move against the primary trend. Counter-trend movements often suggest a retracement or a temporary shift in market direction.

Mode

The mode for this chart is specified as "impulsive as C." This mode denotes a stronger directional movement within the Elliott Wave structure, indicating that the current counter-trend may contain a significant shift or wave progression.

Structure

The structure is identified as "red wave C," which typically indicates the final stage of a corrective pattern. This aligns with the function of the analysis, pointing towards a potential transition from correction to a new impulsive phase.

Position

The position within the broader Elliott Wave structure is "blue wave Z." This position implies that the current pattern is in a complex corrective phase, potentially consisting of multiple interconnected corrective waves.  

Direction for the next lower degrees

The analysis suggests that the next lower degree trend is toward "black wave C." This provides a directional cue, indicating where the trend is likely to head following the current wave structure.

Details

The analysis mentions that "red wave B of Z" appears to be completed, suggesting that a key part of the corrective cycle has ended. This is significant because it denotes the beginning of a new phase, specifically "red wave C of Z of B." This structure could represent the start of a more substantial movement within the current Elliott Wave pattern, indicating a shift in momentum.

The "Wave Cancel invalid level" is listed at 97.779. This level is crucial for understanding where the current wave structure might break down. If the market moves past this point, the current analysis could be invalidated, requiring a new interpretation of the Elliott Wave structure.

In summary, the analysis outlines a transition in the AUD/JPY pair from a corrective phase to a potentially more impulsive structure. It provides key points to watch for traders and analysts, indicating possible changes in market direction. The critical invalidation level gives traders a boundary for risk management, serving as a guide for trading decisions and strategy adjustments.

Chart

Australian Dollar/Japanese Yen (AUDJPY) 4 Hour Chart  

AUD/JPY Elliott Wave technical analysis

Function: Counter Trend.                            

Mode: Impulsive as C.                            

Structure: Red wave C.                            

Position: Blue Wave Z.                          

Direction next higher degrees: Red wave C (started).                    

Details: Red wave B of Z looking completed, now red wave C of Z looking started . Wave Cancel invalid level:97.779.                          

The AUD/JPY Elliott Wave Analysis for the 4-Hour Chart provides insights into the current market trends and future projections for the Australian Dollar/Japanese Yen currency pair using the Elliott Wave Theory.

Function

The function of this analysis is identified as "Counter Trend." This suggests that the current market structure is moving in opposition to a broader, larger trend. Counter-trend movements often signal corrections or retracements within a larger trend.

Mode

The mode described in this analysis is "impulsive as C," indicating that the ongoing wave pattern is impulsive and represents a final phase of a correction. Impulsive waves generally signify more substantial and direct price movements within the Elliott Wave structure.

Structure

The structure for this analysis is noted as "red wave C," indicating that the market is in the final phase of a corrective cycle. This structure aligns with the counter-trend function, suggesting a more substantial correction in progress, possibly signaling the beginning of a new trend or the resumption of the broader trend.

Position

The position within the Elliott Wave cycle is listed as "blue wave Z," indicating a higher degree of complexity and possible combination patterns. This is part of a larger structure that often involves multiple corrective waves interconnected in a larger pattern.

Direction for the next higher degrees

The analysis points towards "red wave C," indicating that the current impulsive phase could lead to a broader continuation of the trend, suggesting a transition from correction to impulsion.

Details

The details provided in the analysis indicate that "red wave B of Z" is looking completed, suggesting that a key part of the correction phase has ended. The analysis identifies that "red wave C of Z" is likely beginning, which represents a more substantial impulsive movement in the current cycle. This is a potential signal for traders to watch for continuation patterns.

The "Wave Cancel invalid level" of 97.779 is crucial. This level acts as a boundary; if breached, the current Elliott Wave pattern becomes invalid, necessitating a re-evaluation. This invalidation level is critical for traders and analysts as it guides their risk management strategies.

In summary, the analysis describes a complex Elliott Wave structure, focusing on the transition from a corrective phase to a more impulsive one. It underscores significant points for traders to watch, indicating potential directional shifts in the market.

Technical analyst: Malik Awais.

Chart

AUD/JPY Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles to extend advance above 1.1800

The EUR/USD pair posts a fresh weekly low near 1.1740 during the Asian trading session on Wednesday. The major currency pair is under pressure as the US Dollar edges higher despite Federal Open Market Committee minutes of the December policy meeting, released on Tuesday, showing that most policymakers stressed the need for further interest rate cuts.

GBP/USD trades flat above 1.3450 amid thin trading volume

The GBP/USD pair holds steady around 1.3465 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. However, the Bank of England guided that monetary policy will remain on a gradual downward path, which might underpin the Cable against the US Dollar. Financial markets are expected to trade on thin volumes as traders prepare for the New Year holiday.

Gold attempts another run toward $4,400 on final day of 2025

Gold price makes another attempt toward $4,400 in Asian trading on Tuesday, keeping the recovery mode intact following Monday's over 4% correction. The bright metal seems to cheer upbeat Chinese NBS and RatingDog Manufacturing and Services PMI data for December. 

Top Crypto Gainers: Canton, Four, Plasma rally secures double-digit gains

Canton, Four, and Plasma are the top-performing crypto assets over the last 24 hours with double-digit gains. The extended recovery in Canton is gaining traction while Four and Plasma target a decisive close above the 200-period Exponential Moving Average on the 4-hour chart.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).