AUD/USD posts strong sell-off near 7-week low

Melina Deltas, CFTe XM

AUDUSD is recording its third day of losses with strong momentum, reaching a seven-week low at 0.7026 earlier today. The price plunged beneath the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the downleg from 0.8135 to 0.6746, around 0.7070 and the Ichimoku cloud in the daily timeframe, suggesting a retest of the 0.7000. If the price pauses around the latter level this would confirm the sideways channel with upper boundary 0.7200 and lower boundary 0.7000.

The short-term bias looks negative as the MACD keepd losing ground below its trigger line, while the RSI seems to be making its way down below its 50-neutral mark. Moreover, the price is capped by the 20- and 40-simple moving averages (SMAs), which are ready to create a bearish cross.

The 0.7000 psychological level could be a trigger point for steeper bearish action and if there is a break of this significant line, investors could turn their attention on the 0.6825 support, taken from January 2016, turning the neutral outlook to bearish.

However, if the pair reverses back to the upside, immediate resistance is coming from the 23.6% Fibonacci of 0.7070 ahead of the lower surface of the Ichimoku cloud around 0.7100. If the price continues to rise, resistance could next be faced somewhere near the 0.7200 handle.

Overall, the strong sell-off over the last days did not change the neutral bias. Any drop below 0.7000 could resume long-term bearish structure.

Author

Melina Deltas, CFTe

Melina joined XM in December 2017 as an Investment Analyst in the Research department. She can clearly communicate market action, particularly technical and chart pattern setups.

EUR/USD holds firm near 1.1850 amid USD weakness

EUR/USD remains strongly bid around 1.1850 in European trading on Monday. The USD/JPY slide-led broad US Dollar weakness helps the pair build on Friday's recovery ahead of the Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence data for February.

GBP/USD hovers near 1.3600 as UK government crisis weighs on Pound Sterling

GBP/USD moves sideways after registering modest gains in the previous session, trading around 1.3610 during the European hours on Monday. The pair could come under pressure as the Pound Sterling may weaken amid a fresh government crisis in the United Kingdom.

Gold remains supported by China's buying and USD weakness as traders eye US data

Gold struggles to capitalize on its intraday move up and remains below the $5,100 mark heading into the European session amid mixed cues. Data released over the weekend showed that the People's Bank of China extended its buying spree for a 15th month in January. Moreover, dovish US Fed expectations and concerns about the central bank's independence drag the US Dollar lower for the second straight day, providing an additional boost to the non-yielding yellow metal.

Cardano steadies as whale selling caps recovery

Cardano (ADA) steadies at $0.27 at the time of writing on Monday after slipping more than 5% in the previous week. On-chain data indicate a bearish trend, with certain whales offloading ADA. However, the technical outlook suggests bearish momentum is weakening, raising the possibility of a short-term relief rebound if buying interest picks up.

Japanese PM Takaichi nabs unprecedented victory – US data eyed this week

I do not think I would be exaggerating to say that Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s snap general election gamble paid off over the weekend – and then some. This secured the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) an unprecedented mandate just three months into her tenure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate after massive sell-off

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices consolidated on Monday after correcting by nearly 9%, 8%, and 10% in the previous week, respectively. BTC is hovering around $70,000, while ETH and XRP are facing rejection at key levels. Traders should be cautious: despite recent stabilization, upside recovery for these top three cryptocurrencies is capped as the broader trend remains bearish.