|

AUD/USD Forecast: Holding around 0.6900 no signs of bullish potential

AUD/USD Current Price: 0.6903

  • Chinese trade data mostly positive, but Aussie buyers unimpressed.
  • US equities seesawed around their opening levels as investors shifted to cautious mode.
  • AUD/USD holding below a critical Fibonacci resistance level.

The AUD/USD pair is ending this Tuesday little changed at around 0.6900, unable to extend gains beyond its weekly high of 0.6919. Australia didn’t release macroeconomic data that could affect the pair, and Chinese figures were unable to trigger some action. China published its December trade balance, which posted a surplus of $46.79B, below the $48.0B expected, although exports were up by 7.6%, while imports increased by 16.3% in the same period, beating the market’s expectations. Equities were firmly up with London’s opening, but the positive momentum failed, with US indexes struggling around their opening levels at the end of the day. Nor Australia, neither China, will publish relevant data this Wednesday.

AUD/USD short-term technical outlook

The AUD/USD pair is heading into the Asian session trading just below the 61.8% retracement of its latest daily decline, offering a neutral-to-positive stance in the short-term. The 4-hour chart shows that it continues developing between moving averages, which offer modest upward slopes. Technical indicators, in the meantime, lack directional strength but hold within positive levels. The risk will turn south on a break below 0.6885, the immediate support.

Support levels: 0.6885 0.6840 0.6800

Resistance levels: 0.6915 0.6950 0.6990

View Live Chart for the AUD/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.1750 on first trading day of 2026

EUR/USD stays calm on Friday and trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1750 as trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).