|premium|

AUD/USD Forecast: Bears retain control, despite the better market mood

AUD/USD Current Price: 0.6709

  • Wall Street’s substantial gains maintained AUD/USD afloat throughout the second half of the day.
  • The Australian Westpac Leading Index declined to -0.13% in November from -0.05% previously.
  • AUD/USD is technically neutral-to-bearish, eyes on the 0.6630 support level.

The AUD/USD pair posted a modest advance on Wednesday, helped by the better market mood lifting global equities. Nevertheless, the pair could not clearly advance beyond the 0.6700 threshold and trades around the level ahead of the Asian opening. Heading into the US close, local indexes retain substantial gains, limiting the downside in the near term.

Australian data undermined the pair, as the Westpac Leading Index declined to -0.13% in November from -0.05% in the previous month. On the other hand, upbeat US consumer confidence lifted the greenback alongside Wall Street through the last session of the day. Australia will not publish relevant macroeconomic figures on Thursday.

AUDUSD short-term technical outlook

The AUD/USD pair remains under pressure and at risk of falling further. In the daily chart, the pair trades below a directionless 20 SMA while it keeps pressuring a mildly bearish 100 SMA. At the same time, technical indicators remain within negative levels, although lacking directional strength.

In the near term, and according to the 4-hour chart, the pair turned neutral. It is finding near-term buying interest around 0.6670, where the 20 and the 200 SMAs converge, while the 100 SMA remains flat well above the current level. At the same time, technical indicators head nowhere at around their midlines.

Support levels:  0.6670 0.6630 0.6595

Resistance levels 0.6740 0.6775 0.6810

View Live Chart for the AUD/USD

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.