|

AUD/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

AUD/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis – Day chart

Function: Bullish Trend.

Mode: Impulsive.

Structure: Orange wave 3.

Position: Navy blue wave 1.

Direction next lower degrees: Orange wave 4.

Details: Orange wave 2 seems complete; orange wave 3 is now active.

Invalidation level: 0.63734.

The daily Elliott Wave analysis of AUDUSD shows a bullish trend with strong impulsive behavior. Orange wave 3 is currently unfolding within the broader navy blue wave 1, indicating the beginning of a potential major uptrend. The next expected step in this wave sequence is orange wave 4, a corrective move likely to follow wave 3’s completion. Observations suggest orange wave 2 has ended, and orange wave 3, typically the longest and strongest wave, is now underway.

The current bullish trend is backed by consistent upward momentum, driven by buyer interest. A break below 0.63734 would invalidate the wave count and change the bullish outlook. The daily timeframe gives this analysis broader context and reliability. With wave 3 usually providing the clearest upward strength in Elliott Wave theory, this setup suggests significant upside potential. Traders should watch for confirmation signs of continued wave progress while maintaining awareness of the key invalidation level.

AUDUSD

AUD/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis – Four-hour chart

Function: Bullish Trend.

Mode: Impulsive.

Structure: Gray wave 3.

Position: Orange wave 3.

Direction next higher degrees: Gray wave 3 (begun).

Details: Gray wave 2 seems completed; gray wave 3 is in play.

Invalidation level: 0.63734.

The 4-hour chart analysis of AUDUSD indicates a strong bullish trend via Elliott Wave interpretation. The pair is moving through gray wave 3 inside orange wave 3, marking a potent upward phase. Following gray wave 2’s apparent completion, the chart suggests the start of a typically aggressive and extended wave 3 movement. This phase is often the most trade-worthy due to clear momentum and trend direction.

As long as prices remain above 0.63734, the bullish structure holds. The impulsive wave characteristics align with rising buyer pressure and support sustained gains. This 4-hour timeframe offers a detailed yet broader view, helping traders track real-time developments while filtering minor fluctuations. The analysis supports continued upside if wave patterns remain intact and can help guide trade entries and exits.

AUDUSD

AUD/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gathers recovery momentum, trades near 1.1750

Following the correction seen in the second half of the previous week, EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum and trades in positive territory near 1.1750. The US Dollar (USD) struggles to attract buyers and supports the pair as investors await Tuesday's GDP data ahead of the Christmas holiday. 

GBP/USD knocks ten-week highs ahead of holiday slowdown

GBP/USD found room on the high side on Monday, kicking off a holiday-shortened trading week with a fresh spat of Greenback weakness, bolstering the Pound Sterling into its highest bids in ten weeks. Pound traders are largely brushing off the latest interest rate cut from the Bank of England as the UK’s central bank policy strategy leaves the water murky for rate-cut watchers.

Gold buying remains unabated; fresh all-time peak and counting

Gold builds on the previous day's blowout rally through the $4,400 mark and continues scaling new record highs through the Asian session on Tuesday. Bets for more interest rate cuts by the US Fed, renewed US Dollar selling bias, and rising geopolitical uncertainties turn out to be key factors driving flows towards the bullion. Traders now look to the delayed release of the revised US Q3 GDP print and US Durable Goods Orders for a fresh impetus.

Year ahead 2026: Where will Bitcoin be in a year’s time?

Bitcoin, which accounts for roughly 60% of total crypto market capitalization, entered 2025 with unstoppable momentum under a crypto‑friendly Trump administration. The rally was supported by major regulatory wins and accelerating institutional adoption.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.