|

AUD/USD analysis: bearish trend intact, 0.6828 still at sight

AUD/USD Current price: 0.7109

  • Aussie remains the weakest currency in the FX atmosphere.
  • Intraday shallow recovery reverted, as Wall Street lost initial momentum.

The Australian dollar remains among the weakest currencies across the FX board, trading not far from its multi-year low of 0.7098. The pair retested the low posted Friday and hit an intraday high of 0.7131, but the shallow advance could clearly be attributed to decreased dollar's demand than Aussie's self-strength. US equities opened with a strong tone but trimmed most of their gains, adding pressure on the commodity-linked currency. At the beginning of the day, China released its August inflation data, with the monthly CPI hitting 0.7% and the yearly reading printing 2.3%, a six-month high. During the upcoming session, Australia will release its NAB's Business Conditions an Business Confidence indexes for July, while China will unveil minor money data.

The pair maintains its bearish potential intact, with scope to extend the ongoing downward move to 0.6826, January 2016 monthly low, as the latest consolidation has helped the pair to correct part of its extreme oversold conditions. Short-term, and according to the 4 hours chart, the pair has stalled its intraday recovery well below firmly bearish moving averages, while technical indicators resumed their declines after an upward corrective movement within negative levels, the Momentum now at fresh 1-week lows and the RSI at 36.  

Support levels: 0.7095 0.7065 0.7030

Resistance levels: 0.7140 0.7180 0.7210

View Live Chart for the AUD/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gathers strength to near 1.1550 ahead of ECB rate decision

The EUR/USD pair trades in positive territory near 1.1540 during the early Asian trading hours. Rising bets that the European Central Bank will deliver a rate hike at its June policy meeting later on Thursday underpin the Euro against the Greenback.

GBP/USD nudges higher above 1.3350 despite rising Fed hike bets

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3385 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. However, the potential upside might be limited amid rising expectations for higher-for-longer US interest rates. Markets might turn cautious later in the day ahead of the US Producer Price Index report.

Gold steadies above YTD low on softer USD; bearish bias remains amid Fed hike bets

Gold fades a modest Asian session bounce to the $4,118 region, though it manages to hold above the lowest level since November 2025. A softer Core US Consumer Price Index eased concerns about a runaway inflation spiral, weighing on the US Dollar and prompting some intraday short-covering around the precious metal.

XRP and XLM: Mild recovery attempts emerge amid mixed market signals

Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) show mild signs of recovery on Thursday after extending losses earlier this week. XRP is holding above the $1.10 level as bearish momentum begins to fade, while XLM has bounced modestly from a key support zone.

Oil is trading shadows on a radar screen

The oil market is no longer trading a clean barrel count. It is trading shadows on a radar screen, tankers running dark, missiles in the air, diplomacy wearing a flak jacket, and every macro desk trying to decide whether the Strait of Hormuz is merely impaired or about to become the fuse that relights the inflation trade.

The US economy defies the rules: 100 days into the Oil shock and the recession signal is still missing

More than three months after the start of the Iran war and the resulting disruption to global energy markets, the US economy continues to display remarkable resilience. The conflict has triggered a sharp rise in Oil prices, reignited inflationary pressures and fueled widespread concerns about a potential economic slowdown.