|

AUD/USD analysis: bearish below 0.7450, with scope to retest 0.7300

AUD/USD Current price: 0.7399

The Aussie got a boost from better-than-expected Chinese PMI figures at the beginning of the day, spiking up to 0.7419 against its American rival, although it later retreated, remaining contained by selling interest around 0.7400 for the rest of the day. The Chinese NBS Manufacturing PMI for November surged to 51.7 from previous 51.2, a multi-year high, while the Non-manufacturing PMI printed 54.7 from previous 54.0, easing concerns about an economic slowdown in the world's second largest economy. The pair traded as low as 0.7370 in the US afternoon, dragged lower by strong US manufacturing PMIs readings, but also weighed by a continued slide in gold prices, as the commodity reached fresh 10-month lows. From a technical point of view, the risk remains towards the downside for the AUD/USD, as in the 1 hour chart, the price is barely holding above its 20 SMA, whilst technical indicators have entered bearish territory, with modest downward slopes. In the 4 hours chart, the 20 SMA has extended its slide above the current level, while technical indicators hover within bearish territory with no clear directional strength. A downward extension below the 0.7370 level, should support a slide towards the 0.7300 region later on the day.

Support levels: 0.7370 0.7330 0.7290

Resistance levels: 0.7420 0.7460 0.7495

View Live Chart for the AUD/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD weakens as US jobs data trims Fed rate cut bets

The EUR/USD pair trades in negative territory for the third consecutive day near 1.1860 during the early European session on Thursday. Traders will keep an eye on the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims data. On Friday, the attention will shift to the US Consumer Price Index inflation report. 

GBP/USD bullish outlook prevails above 1.3600, UK GDP data looms

The GBP/USD pair gains ground near 1.3635, snapping the two-day losing streak during the early European session on Thursday. The preliminary reading of UK Gross Domestic Product for the fourth quarter will be closely watched later on Thursday. The UK economy is estimated to grow 0.2% QoQ in Q4, versus 0.1% in Q1. 

Gold remains on the defensive below two-week top; lacks bearish conviction amid mixed cues

Gold sticks to modest intraday losses through the Asian session on Thursday, though it lacks follow-through selling and remains close to a nearly two-week high, touched the previous day. The commodity currently trades above the $5,070 level, down just over 0.20% for the day, amid mixed cues.

UK GDP set to post weak growth as markets rise bets on March rate cut

Markets will be watching closely on Thursday, when the United Kingdom’s Office for National Statistics will release the advance estimate of Q4 Gross Domestic Product. If the data land in line with consensus, the UK economy would have continued to grow at an annualised pace of 1.2%, compared with 1.3% recorded the previous year. 

The market trades the path not the past

The payroll number did not just beat. It reset the tone. 130,000 vs. 65,000 expected, with a 35,000 whisper. 79 of 80 economists leaning the wrong way. Unemployment and underemployment are edging lower. For all the statistical fog around birth-death adjustments and seasonal quirks, the core message was unmistakable. The labour market is not cracking.

Sonic Labs’ vertical integration fuels recovery in S token

Sonic, previously Fantom (FTM), is extending its recovery trade at $0.048 at the time of writing, after rebounding by over 12% the previous day. The recovery thesis’ strengths lie in the optimism surrounding Sonic Labs’ Wednesday announcement to shift to a vertically integrated model, aimed at boosting S token utility.