|

AUD/USD analysis: Australian employment data to lead the way

AUD/USD Current price: 0.7401

  • Australia expected to have added 17K new jobs in June.
  • Data ahead of employment figures anticipate another month of solid jobs' growth.

The AUD/USD pair recovered up to the 0.7400 region in the US afternoon, after trading as low as 0.7342. The ongoing bounce was backed by the solid performance of equities, mostly up worldwide, and easing dollar demand in the last trading session of the day. Australia will release today its June employment figures and is expected to have added 17K new jobs in the month, while the unemployment rate is seen steady at 5.4%. In May, the economy added 12,000 jobs, but part-time employment was up by 32.6K while full-time employment lost 20.6K positions. An increase in full-time jobs could be a bullish catalyst for the pair, and different indicators released all through the month, suggest that June figures will be upbeat, as according to a sector report, job's growth in the country’s mining industry has increased for the 13th consecutive month. The RBA Minutes showed that policymakers expect a continued solid growth in employment, which will gradually push the unemployment rate lower. Australia will also release the quarterly NAB's Business Confidence Index for Q2, previously at 7. Despite the latest recovery, the 4 hours chart shows that the upward potential remains limited as the pair is struggling with directionless 20 and 100 SMA both confined to a tight range, while technical indicators bounce from their daily lows, with the Momentum still in negative territory but the RSI aiming to surpass its mid-line.

Support levels: 0.7370 0.7335 0.7310 

Resistance levels: 0.7410 0.7450 0.7490  

View Live Chart for the AUD/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200; US NFP awaited

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7200, near its highest level since mid-May, as bulls await the US NFP report for more cues on the Fed's policy path before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near its lowest level in over a week and acts as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the RBA's hawkish tilt.

USD/JPY eyes August swing low, near 155.20 ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY retests the August monthly swing low during the Asian session on Friday as a more hawkish repricing of BoJ rate-hike bets and a suspected intervention continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is seen consolidating the previous day's heavy losses amid soft US bond yields, further weighing on the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report.

Gold tumbles as blockbuster US NFP lift US Dollar, Treasury yields

Gold (XAU/USD) falls sharply on Friday, snapping a two-day recovery after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report surprised strongly to the upside. The metal briefly climbed above $4,500 on Thursday, gaining nearly 2%, but has since erased a large part of that advance.

The week ahead: Dollar at a crossroads as CPI and ECB take centre stage
With the summer finally over, investors returned with a strong appetite for action. Following last week’s strong performance, the US dollar has taken a back seat so far this week, as oil, the yen and sovereign bond yields monopolized market interest.
CFTC report: Oil rebound offsets broader positioning retreat
The week in one sentence: Speculative positioning became more defensive in the week ending September 1. Yen short positioning recorded the largest deterioration, while Gold length also retreated. Oil buying returned alongside stronger prices, and Canadian Dollar and Euro positioning improved, although Euro flows diverged from weaker spot prices.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.