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At last, the pullback

Goodness gracious… The Dollar gains were pretty persistent. USDJPY saw a Wave v at the 76.4% projection while EURUSD only managed a 50% projection in the Wave v. That took USDCHF higher to almost reach the high – but just 7 points below. As for the final Major, GBPUSD saw a 14.6% expansion at the low and therefore we should be heading lower in the Dollar now. 

So, the basic outlook is Dollar bearish but I feel this will be a relatively limited correction due to GBPUSD. The only possible problem is that sometimes the follow-through is slightly stronger. What we shall need to look for is the Wave iii and where it falls. We also have a 30% Wave ii and that tends to suggest a Wave iv of over 50% - but perhaps it can see a 76.4% projection in Wave v. So, keep track of this pair because it should provide us with a reversal.

Most likely we’ll see EURJPY extending gains – but now with the balance between a bearish USDJPY and bullish EURUSD, it may provide a consolidation for a while. 

The Aussie should see further gains but difficult to judge how high the Wave -b- will be. It also has its own way of doing things so we have to take care. However, we should see gains today.

Author

Ian Copsey

Ian Copsey

Harmonic Elliott Wave

Ian Copsey has been around in financial market for over 30 years, the last 23 years as a technical analyst. He focuses heavily on price development and structure as "it is the only way to generate accurate support and resistance".

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