|

American FX Outlook: Unlocking the US government fails to promote US Dollar

What you need to know before markets open:

  • The US Dollar edged higher on Tuesday as investors took into account the end of 3-day period of the US government partial shutdown with the US President signing the protectionist act imposing tariffs on tariffs on solar panels and washing machines.
  • The Bank of Japan left policy unchanged with key comment from Governor Haruhiko Kuroda that the central bank is not in a position to consider exiting its current policy. 
  • The World Economic Forum in the Swiss town of Davos continues with leaders expressing concerns about the sustainability of current economic and market bullishness.

Tuesday’s market moving events

  • Richmond Fed manufacturing index is expected to decelerate to 19 in January.
  • The consumer confidence in the EU is set to increase to 0.6% in January.
  • Chicago Federal Reserve President Charles Evans gives introductory remarks before the Chicago Council on Global Affairs conference: "The Future of Monetary Policy: Embracing the Unconventional" in Chicago at 23:30 GMT.

Major market movers

  • The US Dollar index edged higher with the chapter of the US government shutdown closed ahead of key European events including ECB meeting later this week.
  • The Sterling appears to be the clear winner of the streak of the US Dollar softness rising as high as $1.4000 overnight before retreating lower. 
  • The US Dollar fell, rose and fall again against the Japanese yen on news of the Bank of Japan seeing no reason to review its policies.

Earlier in Asia/Europe

  • The Bank of Japan left the policy rate unchanged at -0.1% for current account balances of financial institutions with the BoJ and the amount of monthly asset purchases unchanged at ¥80 trillion in 8-1 vote while saying the inflation outlook improved somewhat towards 2% inflation target.
  • The UK public sector net borrowing shrank to £0.979 billion in December, down from revised £6.456 billion in the previous month.
  • German investors sentiment measured by ZEW index increased 3.0 points in January 2018 to stand at 20.4 points. 
  • The financial market experts’ sentiment concerning the economic development of the Eurozone increased by 2.8 points, currently standing at a level of 31.8 points in January, ZEW also said.

Author

Mario Blascak, PhD

Mario Blascak, PhD

Independent Analyst

Dr. Mário Blaščák worked in professional finance and banking for 15 years before moving to journalism. While working for Austrian and German banks, he specialized in covering markets and macroeconomics.

More from Mario Blascak, PhD
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles below 1.1800 ahead of US data, Fedspeak

EUR/USD remains trapped in a tight range below 1.1800 in the European session on Tuesday. The pair struggles amid a modest US Dollar strength and an improvement in risk sentiment, even as US tariff uncertainty lingers. The focus now remains on the US data and Fedspeak. 

GBP/USD stays defensive below 1.3500 as USD firms up

GBP/USD stays on the back foot below 1.3500 in the European trading hours on Tuesday. The pair declines as the US Dollar rebounds from losses recorded over the previous two sessions. Traders will focus on the US weekly ADP Employment Change and Consumer Confidence data due later in the day, along with speeches from Federal Reserve officials.

Gold holds pullback below $5,200 amid USD uptick

Gold holds moderate losses below $5,200 in European trading on Tuesday, though it lacks follow-through selling. Following the previous day's knee-jerk fall in reaction to US President Donald Trump's new global tariffs and the subsequent bounce, the US Dollar attracts fresh buyers ahead of mid-tier data and Fedspeak. 

Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extend losses on bearish signals

Meme coins are facing renewed selling pressure amid fading broad risk-on sentiment so far this week, with Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extending their losses after recent corrections.

Supreme Court nixes tariffs, Trump teases 15% global tariff

On February 20th, the Supreme Court ruled that Trump’s global tariffs under IEEPA authority were unconstitutional, effectively nullifying the framework. However, the relief was short-lived. Within hours, Trump floated a 15% blanket tariff under an alternative legal authority.

Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extend losses on bearish signals

Meme coins are facing renewed selling pressure amid fading broad risk-on sentiment so far this week, with Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extending their losses after recent corrections.