|

2 Simple Steps to Beat U.S. Stocks

Americans like to buy American stocks.

Europeans prefer European stocks.

And Chinese investors… well, you guessed it, they go heavily into Chinese stocks.

This is the essence of a phenomenon called home country bias.

As investors, we feel most comfortable buying the stocks of “our own” domestic companies. And we routinely under-allocate to foreign stocks.

That means U.S. investors are likely invested in…

  • Apple… not Samsung
  • Google… not Tencent
  • Amazon… not Alibaba
  • Intel… not the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company
  • Verizon… not America Movil
  • Coca-Cola… not Fomento Economico Mexicano

I’ll note that we recommended an investment in Fomento to our Boom & Bust subscribers. Generally, though, we know well U.S. investors’ preference for U.S. stocks.

Let’s be honest… it feels uncomfortable investing in a foreign company… and it’s worse when you can’t even pronounce its name! Right?!

But sticking too close to your home turf – in the name of comfort, or otherwise – could be costing you a lot of money.

Each of the foreign companies listed above are beating the pants off their U.S. counterparts so far this year.

  • Samsung is beating Apple (49% to 29%)
  • Tencent is beating Google (57% to 23%)
  • Alibaba is beating Amazon (75% to 36%)
  • Taiwan Semiconductors is beating Intel (24% to -6%)
  • America Movil is beating Verizon (36% to -21%)
  • Fomento Economico Mexican is beating Coca-Cola (35% to 7%)

So, what’s an American investor to do?

Two simple things…

The first step is to acknowledge there’s nothing “special” about U.S. stocks.

They aren’t pre-ordained to be the investment world’s best market all the time. Sometimes U.S. stocks outperform foreign stocks. Other times, it’s the other way around.

U.S. stocks will always feel more comfortable to U.S.-based investors. Reinforcing that preference, currently, is the fact that U.S. stocks have indeed outperformed foreign stocks for a long while now. From the March 2009 bottom through the end of 2016, the S&P 500 gained a massive 225% while emerging-market stocks were up just 82% and foreign developed markets just 46%.

But as I first warned in March, there’s no guarantee U.S. stocks will always outperform foreign stocks. The reality is that U.S. stocks are more likely to underperform ahead, as they’ve done so far this year.

Once you acknowledge that there’s nothing special about U.S. stocks, you’re halfway toward finding lucrative opportunities all around the world.

The second step is simply figuring out the best way to invest in foreign stock markets. And, as I see it, that decision is a no-brainer…

You should invest in ETFs.

Look, finding the “next Apple” in China is no easy feat.

Frankly, most investors don’t have what it takes to be stock-pickers in their home markets, let alone foreign markets. So most ordinary folks are better served investing in a diversified basket of foreign stocks and calling it a day.

ETFs make that easy and cheap to do.

Take for instance the iShares MSCI Mexico ETF (NYSE: EWW).

Around 22% of this ETF’s assets are invested in America Movil, Verizon’s counterpart, and Fomento Economico Mexican, the “Mexican Coca-Cola” that we recommended to Boom & Bust subscribers – both up around 35% this year. But it’s also invested in roughly 60 other Mexican stocks, ranging from banks and cement companies, to airlines and real estate investment trusts.

This ETF gives you a simple way to “buy Mexico” – with one click of the mouse, and for a measly 48 basis points. So far this year, that’s been a good buy.

Mexico (EWW) is the top-performing stock market ETF among the 15 countries I track in Cycle 9 Alert and 10X Profits.

Shares of the ETF are up more than 31% year-to-date. That’s three-times better than the S&P 500 (SPY)!

Chinese stocks are also having a great year. And because it’s daunting to buy individual stocks out of China, the iShares China Large-Cap ETF (NYSE: FXI) offers a diversified, low-cost, and simple way to gain access to China’s market.

Shares of the iShares China ETF are up 20% this year, nearly four-times the return we’ve seen from U.S. small-cap stocks so far.

The bottom line is, you’re missing a world of lucrative opportunities if you’re restricting your portfolio to U.S. investments only.

According to private equity firm KKR, China’s economy will account for a full 35% of global GDP growth in 2017. Emerging-markets outside of China will contribute an additional 41% of global growth.

Meanwhile, U.S. economic growth will be just 10% of the global pie this year.

That should make you think twice about loading up on U.S. names… and make you take a second look at global stock market ETFs, from China to Mexico and beyond.

Author

More from Dent Research Team of Analysts
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.