WTI slides below $83.00 amid demand concerns, supply disruption fears to limit losses

WTI drifts lower on Monday amid concerns about slowing fuel demand.
Geopolitical risks remain in play and should help limit any further losses.
Traders now await this week’s central bank event risk and key macro data.

Haresh Menghani FXStreet

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US crude Oil prices kick off the new week on a weaker note and slide below the $83.00/barrel mark during the Asian session.

Against the backdrop of receding fears about a further escalation of the Israel-Iran conflict, concerns that higher interest rates in the US will dent fuel demand in the world's top consumer and exert some pressure on the black liquid. The worries were reaffirmed by weaker-than-expected US Q1 GDP growth figures released last week.

Furthermore, the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index released on Friday cemented expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will delay cutting interest rates. The hawkish outlook, meanwhile, remains supportive of the underlying bullish tone around the US Dollar (USD) and might continue to weigh on Crude Oil prices.

Meanwhile, Ukraine attacked more Russian oil refineries over the weekend. This comes after Russia announced more export and production cuts earlier this year, which, along with little signs of de-escalation of tensions in the Middle East, keep supply risks in play and should help limit any meaningful downside for Crude Oil prices.

Market participants now look forward to Tuesday's release of official PMI prints from China – the world's top Oil importer – for a fresh impetus. The focus will then shift to the outcome of a two-day FOMC policy meeting on Wednesday and important US macro data, including the NFP report, scheduled at the beginning of a new month.

Nevertheless, the aforementioned mixed fundamental backdrop warrants some caution before placing aggressive directional bets and positioning for a further intraday depreciating move in the absence of any relevant economic data from the US on Monday.

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price	82.88
Today Daily Change	-0.57
Today Daily Change %	-0.68
Today daily open	83.45

Trends
Daily SMA20	84.19
Daily SMA50	81.25
Daily SMA100	77.48
Daily SMA200	79.79

Levels
Previous Daily High	84.18
Previous Daily Low	83.1
Previous Weekly High	84.18
Previous Weekly Low	80.62
Previous Monthly High	83.05
Previous Monthly Low	76.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	83.51
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	83.77
Daily Pivot Point S1	82.98
Daily Pivot Point S2	82.5
Daily Pivot Point S3	81.9
Daily Pivot Point R1	84.05
Daily Pivot Point R2	84.65
Daily Pivot Point R3	85.13

Author

Haresh Menghani

FXStreet

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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