|

WTI sits at 11-month tops above $51 mark ahead of US NFP, rigs data

  • WTI consolidates above $51, fresh multi-month highs.
  • DXY’s pullback, Saudi cuts and global economic recovery hopes support.
  • Next of note for the US oil remains the NFP and rigs count data.

The buying interest around WTI (futures on NYMEX) remains unabated, as the bulls probe eleven-month highs above the $51 mark ahead of the US payrolls and rigs count data.

The US oil continues to remain underpinned by the risk-on market mood, fuelled by expectations of a bigger US stimulus after the Democratic victory in Georgia’s run-offs. More fiscal support implies prospects of faster economic recovery, which bodes well for the higher-yielding oil.

The black gold also draws support from the retracement in the US dollar from weekly highs. A weaker greenback makes the USD denominated oil cheaper for foreign buyers. Markets are resorting to profit-taking on the dollar’s rebound ahead of the critical US labor market report.                                

From a broad perspective, the American oil benchmark continues to draw support from Saudi Arabia’s unexpected decision to voluntarily cut oil output. At the OPEC+ meeting held earlier this week, Saudi announced it will cut output by an additional 1 million barrels per day (bpd) in February and March.

Markets now await the US jobs report and Baker Hughes weekly rigs count data for near-term trading opportunities in the prices.

WTI technical levels

“.. multi-day high of $51.30 can offer immediate resistance to the quote ahead of directing it to the stated pattern’s upper line near $51.55. However, any downside break of $50.95 will not hesitate to recall the sellers targeting the 200-hour EMA level of $49.15. During the fall, the $50.00 psychological magnet will be important,” FXStreet’s Analyst Anil Panchal noted.

WTI additional levels

WTI

Overview
Today last price51.15
Today Daily Change0.21
Today Daily Change %0.41
Today daily open51
 
Trends
Daily SMA2048.34
Daily SMA5044.88
Daily SMA10042.55
Daily SMA20038.52
 
Levels
Previous Daily High51.3
Previous Daily Low50.34
Previous Weekly High49
Previous Weekly Low47.57
Previous Monthly High49.43
Previous Monthly Low44.01
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%50.93
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%50.7
Daily Pivot Point S150.46
Daily Pivot Point S249.92
Daily Pivot Point S349.5
Daily Pivot Point R151.42
Daily Pivot Point R251.84
Daily Pivot Point R352.38

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD: Downward-sloping trendline near 1.3470 remains key barrier

The British pound faces selling pressure against its major currency peers, trading 0.1% lower at around 1.3420 against the US Dollar during the European trading session on Tuesday.

Euro defends the 1.1500 level ahead of a string of US labour data

The Euro (EUR) posts marginal gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday as Monday’s reversal from three-week highs at 1.1560 has been contained at 1.1500 so far. A mild risk appetite on hopes of a negotiating process in Iran and investors’ cautiousness ahead of the release of key US labour indicators are providing some support to the pair on Tuesday.

Aave: Bearish RSI divergence risks a 20% drop despite steady DeFi deposits

Aave (AAVE) extends a mild near-term recovery on Tuesday, holding above its 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $90.80. Aave protocol’s V3 deployment on Monad blockchain recorded over $500 million in deposits over the last month, reflecting increased user adoption.

US JOLTs report in focus
In the US, the June JOLTs report will be in the spotlight. Job openings have increased modestly this year, which has historically predicted rising wage cost pressures ahead. June trade balance data will also be released in the afternoon and the preliminary reading pointed towards a stable trade deficit from May. The Fed's Schmid (non-voter, hawk) will be on the wires overnight.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.