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WTI reaches seven-year highs above $78.00 on OPEC+ agreement

  • OPEC+ left the 400,000 barrels per day agreement unchanged, WTI rises 3%.
  • Western Texas Intermediate (WTI) printed a seven-year high at $78.20.
  • From a technical perspective, the bullish bias remains.

Earlier in the European session, oil prices were range-bound within $75.31 and $76.00. However, an announcement by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) leave the crude oil increase by 400K by November, spurring WTI’s rally to a seven-year high, because the market was expecting a larger increase. WTI is trading at $78.01, recording a 3.20% gain at the time of writing.

The market sentiment is downbeat, with major US stocks losing between 1.16% and 2.42%, hammered by rising energy prices, inflationary pressures, and higher US bond yields. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which usually follows the US 10-year Treasury yields path, is down 0.30%, sitting at 93.78, against a basket of six rivals.

WTI Price Forecast: Technical outlook

WTI’s $3 spike to a seven-year high left the $77.00 threshold as new support. The daily moving averages (DMA’s) remain well below the price, supporting the upside bias.
For buyers to sustain the rally, they would need a daily close above the latter. In case of that outcome, the first resistance would be $78.00. A breach of that level would expose crucial supply levels, the October 4 high at $78.20, followed by $80.00.

On the other hand, failure at $77.00 could pave the way for further downward pressure. The first demand zone would be the September 28 high at $76.65. A decisive push beneath that level, WTI’s following support levels would be the September 30 high at $76.04, followed by $75.00.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in oversold levels at 71, with an upward slope, suggesting that upside pressure stills in place. However, RSI above 70 indicates that consolidation or a correction is nearby.

KEY ADDITIONAL LEVELS TO WATCH

WTI

Overview
Today last price78.01
Today Daily Change2.42
Today Daily Change %3.20
Today daily open75.59
 
Trends
Daily SMA2071.77
Daily SMA5069.77
Daily SMA10069.98
Daily SMA20064.44
 
Levels
Previous Daily High75.82
Previous Daily Low74.06
Previous Weekly High76.51
Previous Weekly Low73
Previous Monthly High76.51
Previous Monthly Low67.02
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%75.15
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%74.73
Daily Pivot Point S174.49
Daily Pivot Point S273.4
Daily Pivot Point S372.73
Daily Pivot Point R176.25
Daily Pivot Point R276.91
Daily Pivot Point R378.01

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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