|

WTI Price Analysis: Retraces from $59.80 amid a potential symmetrical triangle breakout

  • WTI trades below $59.70, the ascending trendline on the 4H chart.
  • A symmetrical triangle points toward a bearish breakout.
  • However, neutral momentum oscillator warrants caution for aggressive bids.

WTI trades with a softer tone on Monday following the previous week’s subdued price action. Crude oil moves in a narrow trade band where lows are restricted around the $59.10 neighborhood and the highs near the $59.75 region.

At the time of writing, the US oil is trading at $59.34, up 0,07% on the day.

WTI Four-hour chart

On the four-hourly chart, the formation of a symmetrical triangle suggests that a breakout could happen on either side of the cross. However, the bias remains to the downside. The price is just placed above the 20-hour simple moving average (SMA).

On the downside, the price would move towards the $58.75 horizontal support level first and then it could find the next support near $57.63. This would also coincide with the breach of the ascending trendline further opening the path towards weekly lows near the $57.65 level.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) momentous oscillator reads below the midline with a bullish crossover, which throws some caution for the bears.

On the flip side, if the price is starting to move beyond the 20-hour SMA, which is placed at $59.50, then it would negate the possibility of a bearish breakout, pushing the prices toward a $60.25 horizontal resistance zone. The next hurdle appears to be last week’s tops of $61.50.

WTI additional levels

WTI

Overview
Today last price59.30
Today Daily Change-0.05
Today Daily Change %-0.08
Today daily open59.39
 
Trends
Daily SMA2060.98
Daily SMA5060.47
Daily SMA10054.58
Daily SMA20047.59
 
Levels
Previous Daily High59.94
Previous Daily Low59.13
Previous Weekly High61.41
Previous Weekly Low57.66
Previous Monthly High67.87
Previous Monthly Low57.27
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%59.44
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%59.63
Daily Pivot Point S159.03
Daily Pivot Point S258.68
Daily Pivot Point S358.22
Daily Pivot Point R159.85
Daily Pivot Point R260.3
Daily Pivot Point R360.66

Author

FXStreet Team

Composed of a group of economic journalists and FX experts, the FXStreet content team produces and oversees all content published on FXStreet. It provides a purely journalistic approach to the Forex market.

More from FXStreet Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to gains; US CPI in focus

The British Pound holds onto two-day gains marginally at around 1.3500 against the US Dollar during the Asian trading session. The GBP/USD pair remains firm as the British Pound outperforms despite financial markets pricing out the possibility of an interest rate hike by the Bank of England in the near term.

EUR/USD flat lines near mid-1.1500s as traders await US CPI amid Iran uncertainty

The EUR/USD pair struggles to gain any meaningful traction, and holds steady around the 1.1545-1.1550 area during the Asian session. Traders seem hesitant to place aggressive bets and opt to wait for further developments surrounding the Middle East crisis and this week's release of the latest US inflation figures.

Gold stands firm above $4,400; inflation-driven Fed hike bets cap gains

Gold scales higher for the third consecutive day – also marking the fifth day of a positive move in the previous six – and climbs to its highest level since June 5, around the $4,435 area during the Asian session on Tuesday. Friday's weak US Nonfarm Payrolls report pointed to signs of a cooling labor market and forced investors to scale back their expectations for an immediate interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve.

Bitcoin softens on institutional selling – CRV, ICP outperform
The broader cryptocurrency market shows mixed sentiment as Bitcoin (BTC) drops to $64,000 under institutional selling pressure. The Fear and Greed Index at 37, down from 40 the previous day, signals renewed bearish pressure. Meanwhile, Curve DAO (CRV) and Internet Computer (ICP) continue to extend their gains so far this week, emerging as top performers over the last 24 hours.
Dogecoin: Bullish divergence, whale accumulation support recovery hopes

Dogecoin shows early signs of a potential recovery, trading near $0.070 on Tuesday as bullish momentum divergence suggests selling pressure may be fading. In addition, whale accumulation and improving derivatives metrics suggest a bullish outlook, hinting at a potential recovery ahead.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.