WTI Price Analysis: Advances to fresh 10-month high, overbought RSI warrants caution for bulls

WTI Crude Oil prices extend the upward trajectory and climb to a fresh YTD peak on Wednesday.
The technical setup favours bullish traders and supports prospects for a further appreciating move.
The RSI on the daily chart is already flashing overbought conditions and warrants some caution.

Haresh Menghani FXStreet

Western Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil prices prolong a three-week-old uptrend and touch a fresh 10-month peak, around the $89.00 mark during the early part of the European session on Wednesday.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), in its monthly report released on Tuesday, said that Oil markets will tighten further this year amid robust demand and lower production. This comes on top of deeper supply cuts announced by Saudi Arabia and Russia – the world's two biggest Oil producers – for the remainder of 2023 and continues to benefit the black liquid.

From a technical perspective, the overnight strong move-up confirmed a breakout through the top end of a multi-day-old trading range and supports prospects for a further near-term appreciating move. That said, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is already flashing overbought conditions. This, in turn, warrants some caution before placing fresh bullish bets around the commodity.

Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some near-term consolidation or a modest pullback before the next leg up. Any meaningful corrective decline, meanwhile, is likely to attract fresh buyers near the $88.00 mark. This should help limit the downside for WTI Crude Oil prices near the aforementioned trading range resistance breakpoint, now turned support, around the $87.55-$87.45 region.

The next relevant support is pegged near the $87.00 round figure, which if broken decisively has the potential to drag the black liquid towards the $86.30-$86.20 intermediate support en route to the $86.00 mark. The downfall could get extended further towards the next relevant support near the $85.60-$85.50 area, which should act as a strong near-term base for WTI Crude Oil prices.

On the flip side, a sustained strength above the $89.00 level should pave the way for a move beyond the $89.30-$89.35 zone, towards reclaiming the $90.00 psychological mark. Some follow-through buying will set the stage for additional gains and allow Crude Oil prices to climb further towards the $91.00 round figure en route to the $91.70-$91.80 supply zone and the $92.00 mark.

WTI Crude Oil daily chart

Technical levels to watch

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price	88.88
Today Daily Change	0.70
Today Daily Change %	0.79
Today daily open	88.18

Trends
Daily SMA20	82.71
Daily SMA50	80.09
Daily SMA100	75.7
Daily SMA200	76.31

Levels
Previous Daily High	88.74
Previous Daily Low	86.65
Previous Weekly High	87.56
Previous Weekly Low	84.58
Previous Monthly High	84.32
Previous Monthly Low	77.53
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	87.94
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	87.45
Daily Pivot Point S1	86.98
Daily Pivot Point S2	85.77
Daily Pivot Point S3	84.89
Daily Pivot Point R1	89.06
Daily Pivot Point R2	89.94
Daily Pivot Point R3	91.15

Author

Haresh Menghani

FXStreet

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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