|

WTI finishes the week nearly 1% higher, holds above $61 after OPEC+ output policy

  • WTI rallies nearly 4% on Thursday after the OPEC+ meeting.
  • OPEC+ agreed to a gradual oil output increase in May and June.
  • OPEC+ dour outlook on the global oil demand limits the gains.

WTI (futures on NYMEX) experienced a volatile week before the oil output policy decision from OPEC and its allies (OPEC+) revived the optimism.

The OPEC+ reached an agreement to gradually ease the production cuts, by increasing output by 350,000 barrels per day (bpd) in May, 350,000 bpd in June and 400,000 bpd in July.

The black gold rallied as much as 4% on Thursday, in a positive response to the OPEC+ outcome. The sell-off in the US dollar, driven by the tumbling Treasury yields, also collaborated with the upbeat momentum in the dollar-denominated oil.

However, the US oil settled the week at $61.30, higher by only 1%, as the new wave of the coronavirus and fresh lockdowns worldwide cast a dark cloud on the global economic recovery.

Further, the OPEC+ downward revision to the global oil demand forecast for this year by 300,000 bpd also limited the upside in the WTI barrel. Saudi Arabia's Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said the market's recovery was "far from complete." 

Meanwhile, the number of active oil rigs in the US rose to 337 from 324 last week, which could have contributed to the pullback in the commodity.

WTI technical levels to watch

WTI

Overview
Today last price61.29
Today Daily Change0.00
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open61.29
 
Trends
Daily SMA2062.42
Daily SMA5059.78
Daily SMA10053.69
Daily SMA20047.1
 
Levels
Previous Daily High61.74
Previous Daily Low58.9
Previous Weekly High62.02
Previous Weekly Low57.27
Previous Monthly High67.87
Previous Monthly Low57.27
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%60.66
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%59.99
Daily Pivot Point S159.54
Daily Pivot Point S257.8
Daily Pivot Point S356.7
Daily Pivot Point R162.39
Daily Pivot Point R263.49
Daily Pivot Point R365.23

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits near a one-month top, above 0.7000 amid fresh USD selling

AUD/USD holds above 0.7000 through the Asian session, trading near a one-month high touched earlier this Monday amid renewed US Dollar selling. US bond yields decline further amid a modest pullback in crude oil prices, capping the USD recovery from a three-week low. Moreover, bets for a November RBA rate hike support the Aussie, though upside seems capped ahead of the crucial two-day FOMC meeting, starting Tuesday.

USD/JPY struggles below 157.00 on weak USD; holds above one-month low ahead of Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts fresh sellers during the Asian session on Monday, stalling its recovery from the lowest level since September 18, touched Friday as a further decline in US bond yields weighs on the US Dollar. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen benefits from a more hawkish BoJ, further weighing on the currency pair. The downside, however, seems limited as traders keenly await Fed and BoJ policy meetings later this week.

Gold sticks to modest recovery gains above $4,000 as Fed hike bets cap upside

Gold stages a modest recovery from the vicinity of a three-month low, trading above the $4,000 psychological mark through Monday’s Asian session amid a softer US Dollar. US President Donald Trump has ruled out immediate military action against Iran, triggering a modest pullback in crude oil prices. Furthermore, Federal Reserve officials have signaled no urgency to raise interest rates immediately.

Cardano's derivatives and on-chain data confirm bears in control

Cardano extends losses, trading below $0.202 after three consecutive weeks of more than 20% declines since early October. Selling pressure continues to build as weakening derivatives metrics, bearish on-chain signals and a deteriorating technical outlook point to further downside risks. Derivatives data shows a bearish bias for Cardano.

Flight to safety meets a high earnings bar as central bank week begins

Treasuries rallied again, equities are struggling, and central banks and earnings are on the horizon. Last week, US Treasuries rallied for a second consecutive week. This pushed 10s and 30s to 5% and 5.33%, respectively, flattening the curve even as Brent crude rallied about 7% to within striking distance of March peaks at US$119.50, and tech stocks posted a second straight week of losses.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.