|

WTI dives below $70.00, down more than 11%, worst fall since 2020’s negative price debacle

  • WTI has been under severe selling pressure in recent trade and is now under $70.00.
  • That marks a more than 11% decline on the day, its worst session since last year’s negative prices.

Front-month WTI futures have been getting absolutely battered in recent trade and have recently dropped below the $70.00 level. That marks a more than $8.50 decline (over 11%) on the day, its worst such day since the front-month WTI futures contract swung deeply into negative territory in April 2020.

The oil market’s implosion comes on a day when countries across the world have been implementing (or are considering implementing soon) travel restrictions to countries where cases of the new, highly concerning South African Covid-19 variant have been detected. As the new variant spreads, which it is expected to do over the coming weeks, it seems highly likely that further travel restrictions will be imposed. All of this could be catastrophic for jet fuel demand, a key component of global crude oil consumption.

The latest developments in oil markets have not gone unnoticed by OPEC+. According to sources cited by Reuters, the cartel is monitoring developments around the new, concerning Covid-19 variant and some members are expressing concern that it may worsen the outlook for oil markets. The group meets next week to decide on oil production policy and there is already speculation that they might implement new output cuts. The group was already rumoured to be mulling halting its recent run of consecutive monthly 400K barrel per day output hikes in response to the US and other nations' decision to release oil reserves.

Author

Joel Frank

Joel Frank

Independent Analyst

Joel Frank is an economics graduate from the University of Birmingham and has worked as a full-time financial market analyst since 2018, specialising in the coverage of how developments in the global economy impact financial asset

More from Joel Frank
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD flatlines near 0.6965 as less hawkish RBA counters USD weakness

AUD/USD holds steady above a two-week low, trading near 0.6965 in the Asian session on Wednesday as early midterm election results heighten political uncertainty and weigh heavily on the US Dollar. Moreover, reviving safe-haven demand triggers a fresh leg down in US bond yields, offsetting Fed hike bets and exerting additional pressure on the buck. However, a less hawkish RBA caps the Aussie.

USD/JPY declines below 158.00 as USD weakens on midterm election results

USD/JPY comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, dropping below 158.00 during the Asian session as the US Dollar slumps to a one-month low amid heightened political uncertainty after early US midterm vote counts. Moreover, the prospect of gridlock in Washington drives safe-haven flows, triggering a fresh leg down in US bond yields and further weighing on the buck.

Gold clings to gains near weekly top, comfortably above $4,000 as US elections hit USD

Gold clings to strong intraday gains near the weekly high, trading comfortably above the $4,000 psychological mark during early European session amid a broadly weaker US Dollar. Democrats’ wins in the House and Senate raise the prospect of gridlock in Washington. Moreover, heightened political uncertainty drove investors to safe-haven assets, exerting downward pressure on US bond yields. This is seen weighing on the Greenback and supporting the precious metal.

Bitcoin tests critical support, Ethereum struggles below resistance, XRP extends losses
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) remain under pressure on Wednesday as bearish momentum continues to weigh on prices. BTC approaches key support around $76,466, and a decisive close below could open the door to deeper losses. Meanwhile, ETH struggles below key resistance while XRP faces rejection at the upper trendline of a falling channel pattern, all hinting at deeper losses.
US Dollar Index dives to late September lows near 101.25 on US election results

The US Dollar Index, which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, comes under intense selling pressure during the Asian session on Wednesday, dropping to its lowest level since late September as early US midterm election results heightened political uncertainty.

The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.