|

WTI back above $ 55, but for how long?

  • IEA forecasts and API report weigh.
  • Attempts recovery on broad USD weakness.
  • EIA crude inventory report eyed.

WTI (oil futures on NYMEX) is seen making another recovery attempt above $ 55 mark, as the bulls were rescued by the renewed USD sell-off.

WTI: Near-term risks remain to the downside?

The black gold trims losses, although remains nearly 0.90% weaker on the back of bearish inventory report released by the API late-Tuesday, while IEA downward revision to the global demand growth forecasts for 2017 and 2018 was the main driving force behind the sell-off.

Moreover, risk-off sentiment across the financial markets reflected upon by falling US equities and Treasury yields also exacerbated the pain in the risk asset – oil.

Over the last hours, the oil bulls have found some respite from the extension of the USD sell-off, as the US tax reform uncertainty lingers. A weaker US dollar makes the USD denominated oil cheaper for the foreign buyers.

Focus now shifts towards the official US government crude oil stockpiles report, which will provide fresh insights on the US supply-side scenario amid rising US output levels and rig counts.  At the time of writing, WTI trades -0.85% lower at $ 55.22, while Brent drops -0.80% to $ 61.70.

WTI Technical Levels

Higher-side levels: 55.49/55 (10-DMA/ daily pivot), $ 56 (round figure), $ 56.75 (Nov 14 high).

Lower-side levels: 54.84 (2-week lows), 54.40 (Nov 3 low), 53.64 (classic S2/ Fib S3).

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD faces next resistance near 1.1930

EUR/USD has surrendered its earlier intraday advance on Thursday and is now hovering uncomfortably around the 1.1860 region amid modest gains in the US Dolla. Moving forward, markets are exoected to closely follow Friday’s release of US CPI data.
 

GBP/USD change course, nears 1.3600

GBP/USD gives away its daily gains and recedes toward the low-1.3600s on Thursday. Indeed, Cable now struggles to regain some upside traction on the back of the sudden bout of buying interest in the Greenback. In the meantime, investors continue to assess a string of underwhelming UK data releases released earlier in the day.

Gold plunges on sudden US Dollar demand

Gold drops markedly on Thursday, challenging the $4,900 mark per troy ounce following a firm bounce in the US Dollar and amid a steep sell-off on Wall Street, with losses led by the tech and housing sectors.

Ripple collaborates with Aviva Investors to tokenize funds as XRP interest declines

Ripple (XRP) exhibits subtle recovery signs, trading slightly above $1.40 at the time of writing on Thursday, as crypto prices broadly edge higher. Despite the metered uptick, risk-off sentiment remains a concern across the crypto market, as retail and institutional interest dwindle.

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.

Aster Price Forecast: Demand sparks on Binance Wallet partnership for on-chain perpetuals

Aster is up roughly 9% so far on Thursday, hinting at the breakout of a crucial resistance level. Aster partners up with Binance wallet for the second season of the on-chain perpetuals challenge.