|

WTI advances after four consecutive days of losses, steady at around $84.80s

  • Geopolitical issues between Ukraine and Russia, and middle-East tensions, triggered the jump in oil prices.
  • The International Energy Agency (IEA) reported that OPEC+ missed its production targets.
  • The US Department of Energy approved an exchange of 13.4 million barrels of crude oil from the SPR.
  • WTI is upward biased, though a break above $85.83 would expose $86.90.

On Tuesday, the Western Texas Intermediate (WTI), US crude oil benchmark, advances some 1.65%, trading at $84.97 per barrel at the time of writing.

The rise in oil prices is attributed to a list of factors. Eastern Europe geopolitical tensions between Ukraine and Russia, and the attack on Monday on a United Arab Emirates US military base, increased worries of a tighter supply of the so-called black gold.

Additionally, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) encountered problems to hit its target of 400K crude oil barrels per day, as reported by Reuters. 

The International Energy Agency  (IEA) said in the last week that the group missed its production targets by 790,000 barrels per day (BPD) in December as members like West African producers Nigeria and Angola struggled to raise output.

Meanwhile, around 20:00 GMT, the US Department of Energy approved an exchange of 13.4 million barrels of crude oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to seven companies as part of President Joe Biden’s effort to help control oil prices, per Reuters.

WTI Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The black-gold trimmed some of its Monday’s losses but failed to break above $85.83. That said, WTI’s is upward biased. The daily moving averages (DMAs) reside below the spot price, though the 50-DMA is about to close above the 100-DMA, which sits at $76.75.

To the upside, WTI’s first resistance would be January 24 daily high at $85.83. A break above that level would expose the January 20 cycle high at $86.90.

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price84.97
Today Daily Change1.38
Today Daily Change %1.65
Today daily open83.59
 
Trends
Daily SMA2080.18
Daily SMA5075.48
Daily SMA10076.5
Daily SMA20072.48
 
Levels
Previous Daily High85.86
Previous Daily Low81.71
Previous Weekly High86.93
Previous Weekly Low82.64
Previous Monthly High77.26
Previous Monthly Low62.34
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%83.3
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%84.28
Daily Pivot Point S181.58
Daily Pivot Point S279.57
Daily Pivot Point S377.43
Daily Pivot Point R185.73
Daily Pivot Point R287.87
Daily Pivot Point R389.88

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD looks inconclusive near 0.7120

AUD/USD has been struggling for direction on Monday, coming under fresh downside pressure soon after retesting the 0.7140 area and looking to stabilise in the low 0.7100s ahead of the opening bell in Asia on Tuesday. The pair’s daily decline comes on the back of the generalised improvement in the sentiment surrounding the Greenback.

USD/JPY eases below 157.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY is easing back below 157.00 in Asia on Monday, undermined by modest Japanese Yen strength amid looming intervention risks after Friday's BoJ rate check. A Japanese holiday also keeps traders on edge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East. As a result, the US Dollar pauses its pullback, limiting the pair's downside.

Gold meets resistance around $4,400

Gold kicks in the new trading with on the back foot, keeping its trade near $4,350 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s correction comes on the back of the firmer US Dollar and espite declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Bitcoin rallies near $86K on improving markets ahead of quarterly options expiry
Bitcoin (BTC) market conditions improved over the past week as spot buying pressure strengthened and derivatives positioning increased, pushing the top crypto near $86,000. BTC’s price momentum rose from 47.7 to 53.6, representing a 12.5% weekly increase.
The week ahead: Fuel prices in focus as we lead up to key eco releases

Financial markets are in a strange position as we move to the final weeks of Q3, uncertainty and volatility continue to grip markets, but the oil price is falling; and European and US stocks are poised to open higher later on Monday. Market stresses are concentrated in sovereign bonds, and European and US yields had another scare late on Friday, and moved higher.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.