- USD/ZAR edged lower for the fourth consecutive day and dropped to over-month lows on Monday.
- The set-up supports prospects for a slide towards testing short-term descending channel support.
- A subsequent fall might then turn the pair vulnerable to accelerate the fall towards sub-16.00 levels.
- Any attempted recovery move now seems to confront a stiff resistance near the 16.90-17.00 region.
The USD/ZAR pair remained depressed for the fourth consecutive session and dropped to over one-month lows, around the 16.70 region on the first day of a new trading week.
Given last week's rejection slide from the top end of a three-week-old descending trend-channel, a subsequent fall below the 16.90 horizontal support shifted the bias back in favour of bearish traders. This coupled with the fact that oscillators on hourly/daily charts maintained their bearish bias, and are still far from being in the oversold territory, support prospects for further near-term weakness.
Hence, some follow-through slide towards challenging the trend-channel support, around the 16.60 region, remains a distinct possibility. A convincing breakthrough will now set the stage for an extension of the downward trajectory back towards retesting June monthly swing lows, around the 16.35-30 region before the pair eventually drops to sub-16.00 levels or support near the 15.85-75 zone.
On the flip side, any attempted recovery move now seems to confront a stiff resistance and remain capped near the 16.90 support breakpoint. This is closely followed by the trend-channel barrier near the 17.00-17.05 region, which if cleared decisively will negate the near-term bearish outlook, rather prompt some aggressive short-covering move.
USD/ZAR 4-hourly chart
-637302359599854782.png)
Technical levels to watch
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650
EUR/USD gained traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0650. The improvement seen in risk mood following the earlier flight to safety weighs on the US Dollar ahead of the weekend and helps the pair push higher.
GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data
GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced to the 1.2450 area after touching a fresh multi-month low below 1.2400 in the Asian session. The positive shift seen in risk mood on easing fears over a deepening Iran-Israel conflict supports the pair.
Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike
Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium
Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research.
Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda
US GDP, core PCE and PMIs the next tests for the Dollar. Investors await BoJ for guidance about next rate hike. EU and UK PMIs, as well as Australian CPIs also on tap.