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USD/MXN Price Analysis: Upside pressure eases, support seen at 20.40

  • USD/MXN retreats after reaching on Wednesday the highest level since June at 20.64.
  • A correction of the US dollar favoured a consolidation around 20.50.
  • Banxico is expected to raise key interest rate by 25bps.

The USD/MXN is flat on Thursday, hovering around 20.50. It is consolidating after rising on Wednesday to 20.64, the highest level in three months. The key driver in the cross continues to be the US dollar.

In a few hours, the Bank of Mexico will announce its decision of monetary policy. A 25bps rate hike is expected. A larger hike should be positive for the Mexican peso. The currency has been among the worst performers during the week.

From a technical perspective, indicators are starting to turn south, like the RSI, a sign that USD/MXN is due for a consolidation or correction in the short-term before resuming the upside. A strong support is seen at 20.40 and then 20.20. The new range could be between 20.40 and 20.60. A decline under 20.00 should negate the bullish bias and would point to a stronger MXN ahead.

On the upside, a close above 20.55 would point to further gains and a potential test of the June high at 20.75, that protects the next resistance around the 21.00 zone.

USD/MXN daily chart

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USD/MXN

Overview
Today last price20.5642
Today Daily Change0.0495
Today Daily Change %0.24
Today daily open20.5147
 
Trends
Daily SMA2020.0263
Daily SMA5020.0409
Daily SMA10020.0081
Daily SMA20020.121
 
Levels
Previous Daily High20.6495
Previous Daily Low20.2827
Previous Weekly High20.2043
Previous Weekly Low19.9365
Previous Monthly High20.4572
Previous Monthly Low19.8037
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%20.5094
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%20.4228
Daily Pivot Point S120.3151
Daily Pivot Point S220.1155
Daily Pivot Point S319.9483
Daily Pivot Point R120.6819
Daily Pivot Point R220.8491
Daily Pivot Point R321.0487

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

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