USD/MXN Price Analysis: Mexican Peso retreat appears fading near 17.45 key technical level

USD/MXN braces for the second consecutive weekly loss as bulls prod key resistance lines.
Overbought RSI conditions suggest a pullback towards weekly support trend line.
Convergence of 100-SMA, 200-SMA puts a floor under Mexican Peso price ahead of US ISM Services PMI.

Anil Panchal FXStreet

USD/MXN bulls struggle to keep the reins at a three-month high marked the previous day even as the Mexican Peso (MXN) pair edges higher to around 17.42 during early Wednesday.

That said, the quote rose to the highest level since June while fueling the pair toward marking the second consecutive weekly gain amid broad US Dollar strength. However, the overbought RSI and the USD/MXN pair’s failure to provide a daily closing beyond the key technical resistances suggest a pullback in the prices.

Among them, a horizontal line comprising multiple levels marked since mid-May and a two-month-old ascending trend line, respectively around 17.42 and 17.45, gain major attention.

In a case where the USD/MXN pair rises past 17.45, the late May swing high of around 17.76 could act as an intermediate halt during the likely run-up towards the 18.00 threshold.

Meanwhile, pullback moves remain elusive unless breaking an ascending support line from August 31, close to 17.25 by the press time.

Following that, a slew of tops marked in August may test the USD/MXN bears near 17.22 and 17.20 ahead of highlighting the convergence of the 100 and 200 SMAs, close to 16.97 at the latest.

USD/MXN: Four-hour chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price	17.4114
Today Daily Change	-0.0057
Today Daily Change %	-0.03%
Today daily open	17.4171

Trends
Daily SMA20	17.0031
Daily SMA50	16.9795
Daily SMA100	17.29
Daily SMA200	18.045

Levels
Previous Daily High	17.4582
Previous Daily Low	17.1704
Previous Weekly High	17.2025
Previous Weekly Low	16.6945
Previous Monthly High	17.4274
Previous Monthly Low	16.6945
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	17.3483
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	17.2803
Daily Pivot Point S1	17.2389
Daily Pivot Point S2	17.0607
Daily Pivot Point S3	16.9511
Daily Pivot Point R1	17.5268
Daily Pivot Point R2	17.6364
Daily Pivot Point R3	17.8146

Author

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD falls toward 1.1700 on broad USD recovery

EUR/USD turns south and declines toward 1.1700 on Wednesday. The US Dollar gathers recovery momentum and forces the pair to stay on the back foor, as traders look to USD short-covering ahead of US inflation report on Thursday. However, the downside could be capped by hawkish ECB expectations.

GBP/USD trades deep in red below 1.3350 after soft UK inflation data

GBP/USD stays under strong selling pressure midweek and trades below 1.3350. The UK annual headline and core CPI rose by 3.2% each, missing estimates of 3.5% and 3.4%, respectively, reaffirming dovish BoE expectations and smashing the Pound Sterling across the board ahead of Thurday's BoE policy announcements.

Gold clings to moderate daily gains above $4,300

Following Tuesday's volatile action, Gold regains its traction on Wednesday and trades in positive territory above $4,300. While the buildup in the USD recovery momentum caps XAU/USD's upside, the cautious market stance helps the pair hold its ground.