USD/MXN advances to near 17.03 on risk-off sentiment, focus on US data


  • USD/CHF retraces recent gains as the US Dollar halts its winning streak.
  • The recent Mexico data reduce Banxico’s immediate pressure for policy-tightening decisions.
  • The Greenback gains ground on improved US Treasury yields.

USD/MXN continues the winning streak that began on Thursday, trading higher near 17.03 during the European session on Wednesday. The Mexican Peso (MXN) loses ground as the US Dollar (USD) improves on risk-off sentiment. Market participants reconsider the possibility of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in the first quarter of 2024, which pushes the investors to return towards the Greenback.

The recent data from Mexico indicates an increase in the Fiscal Deficit to 87.78 billion in November, a significant rise from the 29.58 billion recorded in October. Despite this, the Jobless Rate remained stable at 2.7%, slightly above the market expectation of 2.6%. However, the seasonally adjusted Jobless Rate saw a minor uptick to 2.8% from the previous 2.6%. This shift is attributed to the impact of the higher policy rates maintained by the Bank of Mexico (Banxico). The moderate data may offer some relief to Banxico, potentially reducing the immediate pressure for further tightening of monetary policy.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) could maintain its winning streak for the fourth consecutive session on enhanced US Treasury yields, trading higher around 102.10, with the 2-year and 10-year yields on US Treasury bonds standing higher at 4.34% and 3.96%, respectively, by the press time. The US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI posted a lower-than-expected figure than anticipated. Looking ahead, investors are likely to pay close attention to US data on Wednesday, which includes the December ISM Manufacturing PMI, November JOLTS Job Openings, and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes.

USD/MXN: additional levels to watch

Overview
Today last price 17.0336
Today Daily Change 0.0026
Today Daily Change % 0.02
Today daily open 17.031
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 17.1353
Daily SMA50 17.3561
Daily SMA100 17.4172
Daily SMA200 17.4384
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 17.073
Previous Daily Low 16.9074
Previous Weekly High 17.0136
Previous Weekly Low 16.8611
Previous Monthly High 17.5653
Previous Monthly Low 16.8611
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 17.0097
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 16.9706
Daily Pivot Point S1 16.9346
Daily Pivot Point S2 16.8381
Daily Pivot Point S3 16.7689
Daily Pivot Point R1 17.1002
Daily Pivot Point R2 17.1694
Daily Pivot Point R3 17.2659

 

 

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