The yen has been significantly under pressure. Nonetheless, if it becomes foreseeable that the Federal Reserve will lower its key rate again in 2023, Japan's currency has recovery potential, according to economists at Commerzbank.

When will the yen depreciation end?

“We expect the interest rate outlook for other G10 central banks to stay elevated in the near term, keeping the yen under depreciation pressure.”

“Quite quickly, however, the USD/JPY trend is likely to reverse again. As the probability of a US recession increases, the realization that the Fed will have to cut its key rate again in the foreseeable future should increasingly mature.

”We expect the USD/JPY exchange rate to stabilize even without MOF intervention and the yen to recover moderately once a US recession and falling US interest rates are going to be more widely expected.”

 

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Feed news Join Telegram

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD: Corrective pullback fades around 0.6900, Taiwan, US inflation in focus

AUD/USD: Corrective pullback fades around 0.6900, Taiwan, US inflation in focus

AUD/USD struggles to extend the week-start gains as the Aussie traders flirt with the 0.6900 threshold amid a risk-off mood during Monday’s Asian session. The Sino-American tension over Taiwan joins recently hawkish bets over the Fed appear to challenge the pair buyers, due to its risk barometer status.

AUD/USD News

EUR/USD: Bears moving in across the timeframes

EUR/USD: Bears moving in across the timeframes

The EUR/USD price on the weekly chart has corrected to a 50% mean reversion of the prior weekly sell-off. Last week's sell-off could be the start of the bearish extension. On the daily chart, the price has left behind a failed inverse head and shoulders.

EUR/USD News

Gold slides towards $1,750 as Fed, Taiwan concerns favor DXY bulls

Gold slides towards $1,750 as Fed, Taiwan concerns favor DXY bulls

Gold price remains pressured near $1,773, down 0.10% intraday, as risk-aversion underpins the US dollar’s safe-haven demand during Monday’s Asian session. Also keeping the greenback buyers hopeful are the recently increased hopes of Fed 0.75% rate hike in September.

Gold News

Shiba Inu price hints at a 150% upswing, an opportunity too good to pass up

Shiba Inu price hints at a 150% upswing, an opportunity too good to pass up

Shiba Inu price has been hovering around a significant barrier for roughly three months with virtually no momentum to move above it. This development might be primed for a strong move but the directional bias remains unknown. 

Read more

FXStreet Premium users exceed expectations

FXStreet Premium users exceed expectations

Tap into our 20 years Forex trading experience and get ahead of the markets. Maximize our actionable content, be part of our community, and chat with our experts. Join FXStreet Premium today!

BECOME PREMIUM

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures