|

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Bulls eager to break above 112.00 figure

  • USD/JPY main bull trend is taking a breather since mid-July as the market has entered a trading range.
  • USD/JPY bulls are trying to break above the bear trendline from July 17 but they will also have to break above the 112.00-112.17 zone (figure and August 1, swing high) if they wish to resume the bull trend. The RSI, MACD and Stochastics indicators remain constructive to the upside. 
  • However, the 50, 100 and 200-period simple moving averages are flat suggesting that there is not yet convincing momentum in the market.

USD/JPY 4-hour chart

Spot rate:                 111.53
Relative change:      0.38%     
High:                        111.58
Low:                         110.05

Main trend:               Bullish 
Short-term trend:      Neutral

Resistance 1:    111.54 August 6, high 
Resistance 2:    111.84 August 29 swing high
Resistance 3:    112.00-112.17 zone, figure and August 1, swing high
Resistance 4:    112.40 supply level
Resistance 5:    113.18, 2018 high

Support 1:    111.45 August 8 high
Support 2:    111.00 figure
Support 3:    110.75, July 23 swing low
Support 4:    110.00 figure
Support 5:    109.37 June 25 low

Author

Flavio Tosti

Flavio Tosti

Independent Analyst

 

More from Flavio Tosti
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges above 1.1750 due to ECB-Fed policy divergence

EUR/USD has recovered its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders will likely observe Germany’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index data later in the day.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3450 on Fed rate cut bets, BoE's gradual policy path

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3480 during the early Asian session on Friday. Expectations of the US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year weigh on the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson is set to speak later on the weekend. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin trades in compression as 2026 begins with structure still unresolved

BTC/USD remains locked in a two-way structure, with micro supply-and-demand levels guiding early-year price behaviour.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).