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USD/JPY technical analysis: Bulls challenge the top end of one-week old trading range

  • The recent range-bound price action seems to have formed a bullish rectangle.
  • It will be prudent to wait for a move beyond 200-DMA before placing bullish bets.

The USD/JPY pair extended its subdued trading action on Friday and remained well within a narrow trading band held over the past one week or so. The recent range-bound price action constituted towards the formation of a rectangle, suggesting indecision over the pair's next leg of a directional move.
 
Given the recent rebound from multi-year lows and a subsequent breakthrough over five-month-old descending trend-line, the rectangle might still be categorized as a bullish continuation pattern. Bullish technical indicators on hourly/daily charts further add credence to the near-term positive outlook.
 
While a rectangle is usually a continuation pattern, it can also mark a significant trend reversal, warranting some caution before placing any aggressive bets. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for a sustained breakout and some strong follow-through buying in order to complete the bullish pattern.
 
Meanwhile, the positive momentum is likely to confront some resistance near the very important 200-day SMA, around the 109.00-109.05 region, which if cleared decisively will set the stage for a move towards the key 110.00 psychological mark with some intermediate resistance near the 109.30 region – early August swing highs.
 
On the flip side, any meaningful pullback below the 108.40-35 region – marking 50% Fibonacci level of the 112.40-104.45 downfall – might continue to attract some dip-buying interest and help limit the downside near the trend-line resistance break-point, now turned support around the 108.00 round-figure mark.

USD/JPY daily chart

fxsoriginal

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price108.65
Today Daily Change0.05
Today Daily Change %0.05
Today daily open108.6
 
Trends
Daily SMA20108.02
Daily SMA50107.41
Daily SMA100107.57
Daily SMA200109.07
 
Levels
Previous Daily High108.76
Previous Daily Low108.49
Previous Weekly High108.94
Previous Weekly Low108.03
Previous Monthly High108.48
Previous Monthly Low105.74
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%108.59
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%108.66
Daily Pivot Point S1108.48
Daily Pivot Point S2108.36
Daily Pivot Point S3108.22
Daily Pivot Point R1108.74
Daily Pivot Point R2108.88
Daily Pivot Point R3109

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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