|

USD/JPY struggles to clear 200-DMA hurdle

   •  Markit manufacturing PMI hits 7-month low and does little to ease USD bearish pressure.
   •  Mixed US equities underpin JPY’s safe-haven appeal and add to the downward pressure.
   •  Resurgent US bond yields help limit downside, at least for the time being.

The USD/JPY pair stalled its up-move at the very important 200-day SMA and has now retreated few pips from session tops, touched earlier today. 

The US Dollar weakness remained unabated through the early North-American session and was further weighed down by weaker Markit US flash manufacturing PMI, plunging to a 7-month low level of 54.6in June as compared to 56.4 in the previous month.

Meanwhile, a mixed early hour of trading in the US equity markets, with tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index drifting into negative territory, was seen extended some support to the Japanese Yen's safe-haven appeal and further collaborated to the pair's modest retracement from highs.

However, a goodish pickup in the US Treasury bond yields, which although failed to revive the USD demand, helped limit deeper losses, at least of the time being. Nevertheless, the pair continues to oscillate in a familiar trading and remains on track for weekly declines. 

Technical levels to watch

The 110.20-25 region (200-DMA) might continue to act as an immediate resistance, above which the pair is likely to head back towards retesting the 110.70-75 supply zone before eventually darting towards reclaiming the 111.00 handle. 

On the flip side, the 109.85-80 region might continue to protect the immediate downside, which if broken might turn the pair vulnerable to slide back towards 109.55-50 intermediate support en-route the 109.20 level and the 109.00 handle.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD seems vulnerable near 0.6800, 10-month low amid bullish USD

AUD/USD languishes near a 10-month low during the Asian session on Friday, awaiting a break below 0.6800 before the next leg up amid a bullish US Dollar. Firming Fed rate-hike expectations, along with fading hopes for US-Iran diplomacy, help the USD hold gains at its highest level since April 2025. Moreover, the RBA’s dovish tilt undermines the Aussie and backs the case for further losses.

USD/JPY bulls turn cautious near 160.00 amid intervention risks

USD/JPY enters a bullish consolidation phase around its highest level since early September as bulls turn cautious amid intervention risk near 160.00. Meanwhile, the downside seems cushioned as the wide US-Japan interest rate gap keeps the Yen carry trade active. Furthermore, the possibility of a jumbo Fed rate hike and Middle East uncertainties hold the US Dollar near a 19-month top, supporting the currency pair.



Gold remains on the back foot below $3,900

Gold now alternates gains with losses below the $3,900 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal struggles to regain traction amid the firmer US Dollar, mixed US Treasury yields and expectations of further tightening by the Fed at its December meeting.

Bitcoin just posted five straight losing weeks, and the storm may not be over yet

Bitcoin is struggling to find support, slipping below $70,000 as multiple headwinds threaten to push the Crypto King lower. The much-anticipated “Uptober” rally failed to materialize, with persistent selling pressure and widespread liquidations instead reinforcing the “Rektober” narrative.

Week ahead – Fed Minutes, inflation data and Nvidia earnings to guide investors

Fed minutes may add to hawkish tone as bets of 50-bps hike grow. Nvidia to report earnings as bar to impress high after spy scandal. Trade and geopolitics to be focal point of Trump-Xi summit.

Gold hit its lowest level of 2026 near $3,850
Gold (XAU/USD) attempts to stabilize around $3,890 on Friday after falling to $3,852 on Thursday, its lowest level since October 2025. The precious metal has lost more than 4% this week, as investors increasingly anticipate further monetary tightening from the Federal Reserve (Fed). The latest decline reflects a sharp change in market expectations.