|

USD/JPY steadies in the negative territory below 104.50

  • USD/JPY is posting modest daily losses on Wednesday.
  • 10-year US Treasury bond yield is down more than 1%.
  • US Dollar Index stays near 92.00 ahead of FOMC Minutes.

The USD/JPY pair stayed relatively quiet around 104.50 for the majority of the day and edged modestly lower during the American trading hours. As of writing, the pair was down 0.06% on the day at 104.35.

USD struggles to find demand on Wednesday

Following the mixed macroeconomic data releases from the US, the US Dollar Index (DXY) edges lower in the late American session and was last seen 0.26% at 91.97.

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis monthly reports showed that the economic activity in the US expanded by 33.1% on a yearly basis in the third quarter and Personal Spending increased by 0.5%. Other data revealed that the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index declined to 76.9 (final) in November from 81.8 in October, New Home Sales declined by 0.3% and Initial Jobless Claims rose by 30,000 to 778,000. 

Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury bond is currently losing 1% on the day, making it difficult for the positively-correlated USD/JPY to return into the positive territory.

Later in the session, the FOMC will publish the minutes of its November meeting. The statement is unlikely to provide any fresh clues regarding the policy outlook and it would be surprising to see USD/JPY break out of its daily range given the thin trading conditions ahead of the Thanksgiving Day holiday.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price104.37
Today Daily Change-0.07
Today Daily Change %-0.07
Today daily open104.44
 
Trends
Daily SMA20104.47
Daily SMA50104.95
Daily SMA100105.58
Daily SMA200106.7
 
Levels
Previous Daily High104.76
Previous Daily Low104.15
Previous Weekly High105.14
Previous Weekly Low103.65
Previous Monthly High106.11
Previous Monthly Low104.03
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%104.38
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%104.53
Daily Pivot Point S1104.14
Daily Pivot Point S2103.83
Daily Pivot Point S3103.52
Daily Pivot Point R1104.75
Daily Pivot Point R2105.07
Daily Pivot Point R3105.37

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 ahead of Fed Minutes

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and continues to move sideways below 1.1800 for the second consecutive day on Tuesday as markets remain in holiday mood. Later in the American session, the Federal Reserve will publish the minutes of the December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats to 1.3500 area following earlier climb

GBP/USD loses its traction and trades flat on the day near 1.3500 after rising to the 1.3530 area early Tuesday. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility. The Fed will publish December meeting minutes in the late American session.

Gold aims to regain the ground lost

Gold gathers recovery momentum and advances toward $4,400 on Tuesday after losing more than 4% on Monday. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).