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USD/JPY stays flat near 108.70 as focus remains on US data and FOMC

  • BoJ Governor Kuroda says positive signs are seen for global economy.
  • US Dollar Index continues to move sideways near 97.50.
  • Coming up: Inflation data from US and FOMC's monetary policy decisions.

After closing the previous day with modest gains near 108.80, the USD/JPY stays calm on Wednesday as market participants are staying on the sidelines ahead of the key macroeconomic events of the day. As of writing, the pair was virtually unchanged on a daily basis at 108.70.

On Tuesday, revived hopes of the US delaying the tariff hike on Chinese imports that will go into effect on December 15th provided a boost to the market sentiment in the second half of the day. The 10-year US Treasury bond yield closed the day 1.1% higher and helped the positively-correlated USD/JPY pair stay in the positive territory.

However, the pair lost its momentum with the trading action turning subdued ahead of the inflation data from the US and the FOMC's monetary policy announcements. Meanwhile, Bank of Japan Governor Kuroda noted that there were positive signs for the global economy but this comment had little no impact on the market sentiment.

Calm before the storm

The core Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the US is expected to stay unchanged at 2.3% on a yearly basis in November. Although the CPI is not the Federal Reserve's preferred gauge of inflation, a higher-than-expected reading could help the USD gain traction. In any case, the market reaction is likely to be muted before the main event of the day. In the meantime, the US Dollar Index is virtually unchanged on a daily basis at 97.51.

Previewing the FOMC meeting, "we expect the Fed to leave rates unchanged at their upcoming meeting. The views on the appropriate policy path are likely to coalesce around the post-mid-cycle pause," noted BBVA analysts. "The hawks, fearing that overly accommodative conditions could fuel financial instability, will view the pause as a positive development, allowing them to time to evaluate how higher accommodation has impacted financial stability."

Technical levels to watch for

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price108.68
Today Daily Change-0.08
Today Daily Change %-0.07
Today daily open108.76
 
Trends
Daily SMA20108.84
Daily SMA50108.56
Daily SMA100107.82
Daily SMA200108.83
 
Levels
Previous Daily High108.77
Previous Daily Low108.51
Previous Weekly High109.73
Previous Weekly Low108.43
Previous Monthly High109.67
Previous Monthly Low107.89
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%108.67
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%108.61
Daily Pivot Point S1108.59
Daily Pivot Point S2108.43
Daily Pivot Point S3108.34
Daily Pivot Point R1108.85
Daily Pivot Point R2108.94
Daily Pivot Point R3109.1

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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